ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Barcelona
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Minaur
🎯 Baseliner
Fearnley
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,130 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex de Minaur here.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Clay, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Minaur | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.48 | 1.95 |
| ROI % | -4.6% | -28.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.88u | -2.54u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Minaur
0
Fearnley
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Minaur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Fearnley's 50%).
| Opponent | Minaur | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Kamil Majchrzak | L 36 62 67 | L 67 57 63 67 |
| Benjamin Bonzi | W 62 64 | L 16 67 |
| Matteo Arnaldi | L 64 67 46 | W 75 62 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 62 64 62 | W 63 61 |
| Hamad Medjedovic | L 36 46 | W 76 63 |
| Arthur Cazaux | W 46 62 64 60 | L 26 63 16 |
| Taylor Fritz | W 76 63 | L 36 76 16 |
| Christopher O'Connell | W 63 64 64 | W 76 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Minaur | Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.5% | 65% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 64.5% | 63.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 51.1% | 41.9% |
| Aces / Match | 2.3 | 4.7 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.4 | 3.9 |
| Break Points Saved % | 55.7% | 65% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 30.4% | 26.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 50.5% | 59.4% |
| BP Converted % | 41.8% | 49.1% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 18.8 | 20.9 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 34.4 | 26.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.7% | 65.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.1% | 47% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 54% | 40% |
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 11
Luca Nardi
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Dane Sweeny
Lexus Nottingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 8
Rinky Hijikata
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Roland Garros · Round of 128
May 26
Matchup overview
Alex de Minaur and Jacob Fearnley face off in the Round of 16 at Barcelona on Clay.
Alex de Minaur leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Alex de Minaur is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: W vs Denis Shapovalov (Jun 17).
Jacob Fearnley is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Benjamin Bonzi (Jun 11).
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