ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 32 · Shenzhen (Luohu)
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Noguchi
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 59% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 1,415 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex Bolt here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–7 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.36 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | +12.1% | +38.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.05u | +5.06u |
Prior meetings and scores · 2 career meetings
2
Bolt
0
Noguchi
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Noguchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Bolt's 56%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Fajing Sun | L 76 36 36 | W 76 46 76 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 46 64 76 | L 36 26 |
| Yasutaka Uchiyama | L 26 76 26 | W 57 76 63 |
| Sho Shimabukuro | L 26 76 36 | L 46 36 |
| Hiroki Moriya | W 63 36 63 | W 64 64 |
| James Duckworth | W 75 61 | L 67 26 |
| Philip Sekulic | W 62 61 | W 62 76 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | W 63 76 | W 75 64 |
| Oliver Crawford | L 75 46 46 | W 64 16 64 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bolt | Noguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62% | 65.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 73.5% | 68.4% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.4% | 50.1% |
| Aces / Match | 6.3 | 1.4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 67.5% | 69.1% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.3% | 33.2% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.6% | 58.3% |
| BP Converted % | 38.4% | 51.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 26.7 | 23.5 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 31.1 | 32.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.9% | 68.9% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.6% | 53.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 55% | 62% |
Last five matches per player
Match summary
Alex Bolt, ranked 154th, will face Rio Noguchi, ranked 215th, in the quarterfinals of the Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships on hard court. The match is scheduled for April 13, 2026. Bolt and Noguchi have met once before, with Bolt taking that encounter.
The two players bring different tactical approaches to the court. Bolt relies heavily on his serve as a primary weapon, while Noguchi operates as a counterpuncher who looks to dictate from the baseline. On hard courts, Bolt has posted a 65% win rate in recent play, while Noguchi holds a 50% record on the surface.
Both players arrive in strong form, each carrying a two-match winning streak. Bolt has won 4 of his last 5 matches, while Noguchi has also won 4 of his last 5. Both players have competed frequently over the past two weeks, with two matches played in that span. Bolt's longer-term record over ten matches sits at 50%, while Noguchi's stretches to 70%.
When comparing their recent head-to-head results against common opponents, Bolt has the edge. He defeated James Duckworth, Terence Atmane, and Tung-Lin Wu while Noguchi fell to those same players. The pair split results against Oliver Crawford and Philip Sekulic. Surface comfort and recent momentum will be key factors in how this quarterfinal encounter unfolds.
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