ATP Challenger Tour · Round of 16 · Brisbane 3
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
Polmans
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,563 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex Bolt here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 2–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.37 | 2.89 |
| ROI % | +1.6% | -51.2% |
| Units P/L | +0.32u | -2.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 4 career meetings
2
Bolt
2
Polmans
Jan 4, 2026
Workday Canberra International
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 13, 2025
Brisbane 3
H Hard · Round of 16
May 30, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 4, 2018
Playford
H Hard · Round of 16
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (88% vs Polmans's 50%).
| Opponent | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Jamie Mackenzie | W 46 61 76 | W 75 26 61 |
| Tung-Lin Wu | W 46 64 76 | L 46 63 57 |
| Tristan Schoolkate | L 63 67 46 | L 67 57 |
| James McCabe | W 75 76 | L 26 67 |
| Carl Emil Overbeck | W 76 64 | L 57 36 |
| Pavle Marinkov | W 63 75 | W 62 63 |
| Dane Sweeny | W 63 64 | W 16 76 63 |
| Filip Peliwo | W 64 62 | W 63 75 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bolt | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64% | 62.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 70.5% | 64.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 53.8% | 44.2% |
| Aces / Match | 6.9 | 4 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.6 | 5.2 |
| Break Points Saved % | 69.3% | 51.5% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27% | 27.5% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 45.5% | 61.1% |
| BP Converted % | 37.4% | 47.8% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 27.3 | 19 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 32.2 | 31.2 |
| Net Pts Won % | 70% | 69.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 48.5% | 48.1% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 50% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Keegan Smith
Lexus Ilkley Open · Round of 32
Jun 10
Arthur Fery
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 16
Jun 4
Mattia Bellucci
Terra Wortmann Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 2
Mattia Bellucci
Lexus Birmingham Open · Round of 32
Jun 2
Jamie Mackenzie
Terra Wortmann Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Henri Squire
Neckarcup 2.0 · Round of 32
Jun 2
Daniel Elahi Galan
Neckarcup 2.0 · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Jeremy Schifris
Neckarcup 2.0 · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Tristan Schoolkate
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 16
Apr 9
Rodrigo Alujas
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 7
Matchup overview
Alex Bolt and Marc Polmans face off in the Round of 16 at Brisbane 3 on Hard.
Alex Bolt leads 2-2 over 4 previous meetings.
Alex Bolt is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Keegan Smith (Jun 10).
Marc Polmans is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Henri Squire (Jun 2).
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