ATP 250 · Round of 32 · Melbourne 2
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Bolt
🤖 Servebot
McDonald
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 💥 Big Hitter across 5,728 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Alex Bolt here.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the big hitter's power groundstrokes. On Hard, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Bolt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 7–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +3.5% | -25.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.66u | -4.15u |
Prior meetings and scores · 8 career meetings
5
Bolt
3
McDonald
Sep 27, 2025
Jingshan
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 3, 2025
Birmingham
G Grass · Round of 32
Jan 1, 2025
Australian Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 4, 2024
Surbiton
G Grass · Round of 32
Jun 17, 2021
Nottingham 2
G Grass · Semifinals
Feb 1, 2021
Melbourne 2
H Hard · Round of 32
Jun 9, 2018
's-Hertogenbosch
G Grass · Round of 16
Jun 1, 2017
Nottingham
G Grass · 2nd Round Qualifying
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Bolt has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs McDonald's 43%).
| Opponent | Bolt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Tomas Martin Etcheverry | L 76 06 36 | L 76 67 36 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 61 62 64 | L 36 46 |
| Elias Ymer | L 67 67 | L 67 64 46 |
| Terence Atmane | W 63 64 | W 63 61 |
| Harold Mayot | W 63 64 | W 63 76 |
| Omar Jasika | W 46 64 61 | W 60 64 |
| Ben Shelton | L 46 67 67 | L 36 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Bolt | McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 62.3% | 62.7% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 74.4% | 60% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 52.3% | 49.5% |
| Aces / Match | 8.6 | 3.2 |
| Double Faults / Match | 1.8 | 2.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 69% | 56.9% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 29.6% | 24.6% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.8% | 46% |
| BP Converted % | 33.9% | 30.6% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 29.5 | 16.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 32.9 | 26.6 |
| Net Pts Won % | 68.8% | 60.4% |
| Total Pts Won % | 51% | 44.7% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 53% | 55% |
Last five matches per player
Ilia Simakin
Gwangju Open · Round of 32
Apr 21
Yunchaokete Bu
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Semifinals
Apr 18
Rio Noguchi
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Tung-Lin Wu
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Round of 16
Apr 15
James McCabe
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Round of 32
Apr 14
Lloyd Harris
Mutua Madrid Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Apr 20
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Oeiras Open 3 · Round of 32
Apr 14
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mexico City Open presentado por Banco BX+ · Round of 32
Apr 7
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 16
Apr 1
Jenson Brooksby
Fayez Sarofim & Co. U.S. Men's Clay Court Championship · Round of 32
Mar 30
Matchup overview
Alex Bolt and Mackenzie McDonald face off in the Round of 32 at Melbourne 2 on Hard.
Alex Bolt leads 5-3 over 8 previous meetings.
Alex Bolt is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Ilia Simakin (Apr 21).
Mackenzie McDonald is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Lloyd Harris (Apr 20).
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