ATP 250 · Quarterfinals · Bucharest
Final score & match stats
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tabilo
🤖 Servebot
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,503 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Alejandro Tabilo plays Joao Fonseca.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.98 | 1.72 |
| ROI % | -8.1% | -1.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.29u | -0.15u |
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
2
Tabilo
1
Fonseca
Apr 8, 2026
BMW Open by Bitpanda
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 11, 2026
IEB+ Argentina Open
C Clay · Round of 16
Apr 19, 2024
Bucharest
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Tabilo and Fonseca posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | L 67 16 | W 46 46 63 75 75 |
| Miomir Kecmanovic | L 67 36 | W 76 76 63 |
| Zizou Bergs | W 64 46 63 | W 67 60 63 |
| Ignacio Buse | W 64 60 | L 75 36 46 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 61 62 | L 67 64 16 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 26 67 46 | L 57 76 36 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Tabilo | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 64.3% | 67.8% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 71.9% | 71.1% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 50.2% | 50.4% |
| Aces / Match | 5.9 | 4.5 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.1 | 1.6 |
| Break Points Saved % | 58.8% | 54.4% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 27.3% | 30.8% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 47.7% | 48.7% |
| BP Converted % | 30.8% | 48.7% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 24.7 | 23 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 25.6 | 25.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 71.8% | 62.7% |
| Total Pts Won % | 49.4% | 50.6% |
| Surface (Clay) | ||
| Clay Win % | 69% | 64% |
Last five matches per player
Match summary
Alejandro Tabilo and Joao Fonseca will meet in the Round of 32 at the BMW Open by Bitpanda on April 12, 2026. Tabilo arrives ranked 45th while Fonseca sits at 35th. The match will be contested on outdoor clay, a surface that both players have experience navigating at the professional level.
Fonseca leads the head-to-head record 1-0 after one previous meeting between these two competitors. The rivalry remains relatively new, so there's limited history to draw upon as they face off again.
Tabilo has won 6 of his last 10 matches and comes in on a one-match losing streak. Fonseca has been in stronger form recently, posting a 7-3 record in his last 10 and winning 3 of his last 5. He's also played more frequently, with 4 matches in the last two weeks compared to Tabilo's 2.
Both players are aggressive hitters who rely on power from the baseline. On clay specifically, Fonseca has a 60% win rate over his last 19 matches, while Tabilo sits at 45% across a similar sample. Fonseca's recent results against common opponents like Alexander Bublik, Federico Coria, and Jenson Brooksby have been more successful than Tabilo's outings against those same players.
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