ATP 250 · Round of 16 · Antalya
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
💥 Big Hitter
Baena
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 4,745 matches in our dataset. That is a small stylistic lean for Adrian Mannarino here.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency. On Grass, that can swing with conditions.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–10 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.90 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | -51.5% | -32.1% |
| Units P/L | -6.69u | -5.13u |
Prior meetings and scores · 1 career meeting
1
Mannarino
0
Baena
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mannarino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 63 16 | L 36 26 |
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 06 | L 26 26 67 |
| Zhizhen Zhang | W 76 63 | L 46 46 |
| Arthur Rinderknech | W 76 36 63 | L 67 57 64 26 |
| Andrea Vavassori | W 63 61 | L 67 46 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mannarino | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.2% | 65.9% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.8% | 59.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.3% | 49.2% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 1.9 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 2.1 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.2% | 49.6% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.3% | 28.9% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.9% | 51.3% |
| BP Converted % | 31.8% | 49.9% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 21.2 | 19.3 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29 | 20.3 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64.6% | 49.5% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.9% | 47.3% |
| Surface (Grass) | ||
| Grass Win % | 67% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Ofner
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Miguel Damas
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · Round of 32
Jun 16
Jesper de Jong
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Final
Jun 14
Francesco Forti
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Semifinals
Jun 13
Raul Brancaccio
SIC EUROPE OMAG OPEN · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Matchup overview
Adrian Mannarino and Roberto Carballes Baena face off in the Round of 16 at Antalya on Grass.
Adrian Mannarino leads 1-0 over 1 previous meeting.
Adrian Mannarino is 2-3 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Nuno Borges (Jun 21).
Roberto Carballes Baena is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Sebastian Ofner (Jun 18).
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