ATP 500 · Round of 16 · Basel
Final score
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mannarino
🤖 Servebot
Shapovalov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 8,421 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and H2H matter most when Adrian Mannarino plays Denis Shapovalov.
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–9 | 3–6 |
| Avg odds | 4.06 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -47.4% | -38.1% |
| Units P/L | -5.69u | -3.43u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Prior meetings and scores · 3 career meetings
1
Mannarino
2
Shapovalov
Jul 30, 2024
Washington
H Hard · Round of 32
Oct 16, 2017
Basel
H Hard · Round of 16
Aug 11, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Canada
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mannarino has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Shapovalov's 40%).
| Opponent | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Alex de Minaur | L 46 06 | L 46 16 |
| Marin Cilic | L 36 26 | L 76 46 57 |
| Raphael Collignon | L 36 67 | L 46 26 |
| Nicolai Budkov Kjaer | W 62 63 | L 26 16 |
| Tallon Griekspoor | W 75 64 60 | W 64 36 62 |
| Jannik Sinner | L 46 67 | L 36 26 |
| Ben Shelton | L 67 76 36 | L 64 46 67 |
| Adam Walton | W 64 62 | W 62 62 |
| Valentin Royer | W 64 64 57 76 | W 76 62 |
| Marcos Giron | W 64 64 | W 67 60 76 |
Serve and return comparison · Last 90 days
| Stat | Mannarino | Shapovalov |
|---|---|---|
| Serve | ||
| 1st Serve In % | 66.2% | 60% |
| 1st Serve Pts Won % | 68.8% | 68.2% |
| 2nd Serve Pts Won % | 45.3% | 48.8% |
| Aces / Match | 5.5 | 4.3 |
| Double Faults / Match | 2.5 | 5.5 |
| Break Points Saved % | 53.2% | 51.8% |
| Return | ||
| 1st Return Pts Won % | 28.3% | 28.7% |
| 2nd Return Pts Won % | 46.9% | 44.7% |
| BP Converted % | 31.8% | 40.5% |
| Rally | ||
| Winners / Match | 19.8 | 15.6 |
| Unforced Errors / Match | 29.9 | 26.1 |
| Net Pts Won % | 64.9% | 52.8% |
| Total Pts Won % | 47.9% | 48.2% |
| Surface (Hard) | ||
| Hard Win % | 0% | 0% |
Last five matches per player
Matchup overview
Adrian Mannarino and Denis Shapovalov face off in the Round of 16 at Basel on Hard.
Adrian Mannarino leads 1-2 over 3 previous meetings.
Adrian Mannarino is 3-2 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 13).
Denis Shapovalov is 1-4 over the last 5 matches. Latest result: L vs Alex de Minaur (Jun 17).
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