Tung-Lin Wu vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Tung-Lin Wu and Yosuke Watanuki have met 3 times since 2018; Yosuke Watanuki leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Fergana in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Watanuki leads 3–0. Watanuki has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Wu has taken 3 sets to Watanuki's 6. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Cary Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Wu | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tung-Lin Wu | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 89% | 33/37 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 57% | 13/23 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 17/60 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 68% | 30/44 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 73% | 8/11 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 11/21 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 35/42 | 69% | 11/16 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 33/42 | 63% | 10/16 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Wu 0, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wu
👑 The Complete Package
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yosuke Watanuki.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 25, 2021
Puerto Vallarta Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 13, 2018
Fergana
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Wu | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Tung-Lin Wu | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 100% | 7/7 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 5/6 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 3/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 17% | 1/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.39 | 1.77 |
| ROI % | -26.6% | -39.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.86u | -2.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Wu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Watanuki's 0%).
| Opponent | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hayato Matsuoka | W 63 76 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Dahlin
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, TPE-SWE 3-2 · Rubber 5
Sep 20
Luca Castelnuovo
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Alexander Binda
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Fajing Sun
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Hiroki Moriya
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Taisei Ichikawa
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 19
Chak Pong Marco Lam
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Semen Pankin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 2
Semen Pankin
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–60 matches
| Metric | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 56% |
| Sets won | 64% | 56% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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