Tung-Lin Wu vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Tung-Lin Wu and Yosuke Watanuki have met 3 times since 2018; Yosuke Watanuki leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Fergana in 2018 on hard. On hard courts Watanuki leads 3–0. Watanuki has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Wu has taken 3 sets to Watanuki's 6. Their most recent meeting: Yosuke Watanuki won at Cary Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Wu | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Tung-Lin Wu | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 32/37 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 15/24 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 20/61 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 29/44 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 35/43 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 32/43 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Wu 0, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Wu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Watanuki
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
Cary Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Nov 25, 2021
Puerto Vallarta Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jun 13, 2018
Fergana
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Wu | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Tung-Lin Wu | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–5 | 4–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.79 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -49.4% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -3.95u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | TPE | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Wu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Watanuki's 33%).
| Opponent | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hayato Matsuoka | W 63 76 | L 46 26 |
| Rio Noguchi | W 63 62 | L 46 57 |
| Chun-Hsin Tseng | L 36 46 | W 26 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Shunsuke Mitsui
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Hiroki Moriya
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Taisei Ichikawa
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 19
Coleman Wong
Lincoln Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Alex Rybakov
Newport challenger
Jul 5
Yosuke Watanuki
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Justin Boulais
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Adam Walton
Tyler Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 3
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–61 matches
| Metric | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 61% | 52% |
| Sets won | 63% | 53% |
| Games won | 55% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Wu | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
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