Toby Samuel vs Yu Hsiou HsuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Toby Samuel and Yu Hsiou Hsu have met 1 time since 2026; Toby Samuel leads 1–0. Across all meetings Samuel has taken 2 sets to Hsu's 0. Their most recent meeting: Toby Samuel won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Samuel | Hsiou Hsu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Toby Samuel | Yu Hsiou Hsu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 86% | 64/74 | 72% | 28/39 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 7/14 | 26% | 7/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 17/88 | 27% | 18/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 52/69 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 7/9 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 77% | 17/22 | 56% | 10/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 67/71 | 89% | 34/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 90% | 64/71 | 74% | 28/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Samuel 1, Hsiou Hsu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Samuel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Hsu
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Toby Samuel and Yu Hsiou Hsu are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 24, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Samuel | Hsu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Toby Samuel | Yu Hsiou Hsu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 17/17 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 3 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| 5 or more | 65% | 11/17 | 31% | 5/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Samuel | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 2–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.88 | 3.60 |
| ROI % | +21.5% | -60.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.79u | -4.81u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Samuel | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA → TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Samuel and Hsu posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Samuel | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Jay Dylan Hara Friend | L 46 57 | W 63 64 |
| Mees Rottgering | W 63 61 | W 63 63 |
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | L 36 62 46 | L 46 26 |
| Harry Wendelken | W 63 60 | L 36 36 |
| Robin Bertrand | W 64 75 | W 75 76 |
| German Mingaleev | W 62 61 | W 63 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jack Pinnington Jones
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Liam Draxl
Winnipeg Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Charles Broom
Winnipeg Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Yosuke Watanuki
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mikael Arseneault
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Jakub Mensik
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Taipei · Final
Aug 23
Masamichi Imamura
M25 Taipei · Semifinals
Aug 22
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Taipei · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Kuan-Shou Chen
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Kai-I Wang
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 18
Sebastian Gorzny
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Michael Mmoh
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 66–90 matches
| Metric | Samuel | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 82% | 59% |
| Sets won | 78% | 57% |
| Games won | 61% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Samuel | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Samuel | Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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