Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yannick HanfmannPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Shintaro Mochizuki and Yannick Hanfmann have met 3 times since 2024; Yannick Hanfmann leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Chengdu Open - Chengdu in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Hanfmann leads 2–1. Across all meetings Mochizuki has taken 2 sets to Hanfmann's 4. Their most recent meeting: Yannick Hanfmann won at Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, JPN-GER 0-4 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mochizuki | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Shintaro Mochizuki | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 11/21 | 69% | 24/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 15/35 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 25/56 | 29% | 17/58 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 23% | 6/26 | 53% | 18/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 15/27 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 9/16 | 53% | 19/36 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 97% | 31/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 52% | 11/21 | 75% | 24/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mochizuki 1, Hanfmann 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Hanfmann
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 62% vs 🧱 The Wall across 266 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Yannick Hanfmann.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Sep 12, 2025
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, JPN-GER 0-4
H Hard · Rubber 2
Mar 17, 2025
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 19, 2024
Chengdu Open - Chengdu
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mochizuki | Hanfmann | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Shintaro Mochizuki | Yannick Hanfmann | ||
| 1 or more | 84% | 16/19 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 42% | 8/19 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 21% | 4/19 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 15% | 2/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mochizuki | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–11 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.27 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | -23.6% | -2.1% |
| Units P/L | -4.96u | -0.28u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mochizuki | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 4 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 3,937 mi · 6,336 km | 663 mi · 1,067 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hanfmann has a higher win rate against shared opponents (38% vs Mochizuki's 25%).
| Opponent | Mochizuki | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Bonzi | L 46 75 36 | W 61 46 62 |
| Lukas Neumayer | L 26 26 | W 76 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | W 16 76 64 64 | L 46 64 16 |
| Karen Khachanov | L 16 63 46 | L 36 46 46 |
| Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | L 16 67 | W 67 76 62 63 |
| Luciano Darderi | W 63 63 | L 57 36 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 36 16 | L 46 26 |
| Juan Manuel Cerundolo | L 46 76 26 | L 46 76 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Taro Daniel
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Martin Damm
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Linang Xiao
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Frances Tiafoe
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 9
Kamil Majchrzak
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Tomas Machac
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Alejandro Tabilo
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Arthur Fils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Luca Van Assche
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Nuno Borges
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 6
Flavio Cobolli
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 63–64 matches
| Metric | Mochizuki | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 40% | 58% |
| Sets won | 43% | 54% |
| Games won | 47% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mochizuki | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| Other | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mochizuki | Hanfmann |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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