Head-to-Head

Shintaro Mochizuki vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇯🇵Shintaro Mochizuki

#120 · 23 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

🇯🇵Taro Daniel

#172 · 33 yrs · R

Upcoming match

Tournament: Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai
Level: ATP Masters 1000
Round: 1st Round Qualifying
Surface: Hard
Date & time: October 5 · 12:00 AM ET

Book odds

Taro Daniel1.591.61

Shintaro Mochizuki2.302.25

Set spread

Daniel -1.52.51

Mochizuki +1.51.47

Game spread

Daniel -21.84

Mochizuki +21.83

DanielHard-court specialist (67%)MochizukiHard-court specialist (72%)

Record at prices like this

Taro Daniel1.61implies 66%won 61%−5 pts

At 1.61 or shorter, Taro Daniel has won 72 of 118 (61%). The price implied 66%, so Taro Daniel has fallen 5 points short of it.

Shintaro Mochizuki2.25implies 35%won 39%+4 pts

At 2.25 or longer, Shintaro Mochizuki has won 36 of 92 (39%). The price implied 35%, so Shintaro Mochizuki has beaten it by 4 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Shintaro Mochizuki and Taro Daniel meet next at the Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai on October 5 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Mochizuki	Daniel
Indicator	Shintaro Mochizuki		Taro Daniel
Wins in straight sets	61%	14/23	73%	29/40
Wins a set when losing	43%	15/35	36%	8/22
Goes to a deciding set	41%	24/58	31%	19/62
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	31%	9/29	60%	15/25
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	54%	14/26	74%	23/31
Tiebreak sets won	56%	9/16	48%	10/21
Wins after taking set 1	83%	20/24	85%	35/41
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	58%	14/24	71%	29/41

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Mochizuki

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Daniel

🪃 Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance

Matchup analysis

Both Shintaro Mochizuki and Taro Daniel are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,214 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Mochizuki and Daniel have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Mochizuki	Daniel
Outcome	Shintaro Mochizuki		Taro Daniel
1 or more	82%	14/17	100%	15/15
3 or more	41%	7/17	80%	12/15
5 or more	18%	3/17	33%	5/15
10 or more	0%	0/17	0%	0/15
15 or more	0%	0/17	0%	0/15
20 or more	0%	0/17	0%	0/15

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Mochizuki	Daniel
W-L	9–10	13–7
Avg odds	2.16	1.74
ROI %	-27.1%	+5.8%
Units P/L	-5.15u	+1.15u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Mochizuki	Daniel
Countries	2	2
Events	4	4
Matches	5	7
Distance	3,937 mi · 6,336 km	2,385 mi · 3,838 km
Route	CHN → JPN → CHN	CHN → JPN → CHN

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (86% vs Mochizuki's 43%).

Opponent	Mochizuki	Daniel
Fabian Marozsan	L 46 36	L 76 57 67
Dane Sweeny	W 16 76 63	W 76 62
Hayato Matsuoka	L 36 26	W 64 76
Jacob Fearnley	L 36 16	W 64 61
Duncan Chan	W 62 26 64	W 63 62
Kyrian Jacquet	W 63 62	W 64 36 63
Lukas Neumayer	L 26 26	W 64 63

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Mochizuki

LLWWLLLW

Jaime Faria

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 28

Martin Damm

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round

Sep 24

Pavel Kotov

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying

Sep 23

Linang Xiao

Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 22

Pavel Kotov

Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round

6⁴7

Sep 15

Jakub Mensik

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round

Sep 1

Francesco Passaro

U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying

Aug 28

Braden Shick

U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying

Aug 26

Daniel

LLWWWLWL

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 28

Fabian Marozsan

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round

76²

6¹7

Sep 25

Dane Sweeny

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round

76⁶

Sep 24

Hayato Matsuoka

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying

76⁹

Sep 23

Jake Delaney

Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 22

Marat Sharipov

Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round

6⁵7

Sep 9

Matthew Dellavedova

Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 7

Andrew Johnson

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying