Seongchan Hong vs Tristan SchoolkatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Seongchan Hong and Tristan Schoolkate have met 3 times since 2022; Seongchan Hong leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Nonthaburi 1 in 2022 on hard. On hard courts Hong leads 2–1. Across all meetings Hong has taken 4 sets to Schoolkate's 3. Their most recent meeting: Tristan Schoolkate won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hong | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Seongchan Hong | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | 47% | 14/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 11% | 1/9 | 40% | 25/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 2/3 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 25% | 1/4 | 61% | 14/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 3/4 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 80% | 4/5 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hong 1, Schoolkate 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hong
🎾 All-Court
Schoolkate
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🎾 All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tristan Schoolkate.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 13, 2024
Bengaluru Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Aug 22, 2022
Nonthaburi 1
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hong | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Seongchan Hong | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hong | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 11–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.22 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -19.4% | +2.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.55u | +0.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hong | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 1 | 8 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 6,970 mi · 11,217 km |
| Route | CHN | FRA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Schoolkate has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Hong's 0%).
| Opponent | Hong | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Rei Sakamoto | L 36 57 | W 63 64 |
| Chak Pong Marco Lam | L 46 26 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rei Sakamoto
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Keisuke Saitoh
M25 Sapporo · Semifinals
Sep 12
Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Sapporo · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Kosuke Ogura
M25 Sapporo · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Yuichiro Inui
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 9
Tristan Schoolkate
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Nikoloz Basilashvili
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Henrique Rocha
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Dane Sweeny
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Harold Mayot
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Philip Henning
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Matteo Martineau
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Harold Mayot
Rennes Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Matisse Bobichon
Rennes Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Anton Matusevich
Rennes Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marek Gengel
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–66 matches
| Metric | Hong | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 50% |
| Sets won | 47% | 50% |
| Games won | 48% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hong | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hong | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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