Sebastian Sorger vs Valerio AboianPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Plovdiv 3 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 2nd Round
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 3 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
Priced around 3.50 or longer, Valerio Aboian has won 5 of 20 matches, 25% against a fair-price expectation of 23%.
Priced around 1.28 or shorter, Sebastian Sorger has won 20 of 22 matches, 91% against a fair-price expectation of 82%.
Book prices only, with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Sample sizes below ten are not shown.
Sebastian Sorger and Valerio Aboian meet next at the Plovdiv 3 Challenger on September 3 on clay.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sorger | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Sebastian Sorger | Valerio Aboian | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 87% | 45/52 | 71% | 29/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 23% | 6/26 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 17% | 13/78 | 30% | 21/71 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 68% | 28/41 | 51% | 18/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 13/26 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 13/21 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 48/51 | 86% | 36/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 45/51 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sorger
⚔️ The Gladiator
Aboian
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 1,255 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Valerio Aboian.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Sorger and Aboian have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sorger | Aboian | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Sebastian Sorger | Valerio Aboian | ||
| 1 or more | 77% | 23/30 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 7/30 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 7% | 2/30 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/30 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/30 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/30 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sorger | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 20–7 | 6–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.57 | 2.12 |
| ROI % | +1.9% | -9.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.52u | -1.19u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sorger | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 4 | 3 |
| Matches | 11 | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BUL → SLO → BUL | ITA → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Sorger and Aboian posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Sorger | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Karlo Kajin | W 60 61 | W 62 64 |
| Alessandro Mondazzi | W 62 60 | W 64 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Petr Brunclik
Plovdiv 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Samuele Pieri
M25 Maribor · Semifinals
Aug 29
Giuseppe La Vela
M25 Maribor · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Miha Vetrih
M25 Maribor · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Jan Kupcic
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 26
Jonas Gundacker
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Final
Aug 23
Sebastian Dominko
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Semifinals
Aug 22
Luca Castagnola
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Maribor · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Karlo Kajin
M25 Maribor · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Vid Mohar
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 25
Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nik Mikovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Aljaz Jeran
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Maximilian Homberg
Todi Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 9
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Plovdiv 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 71–78 matches
| Metric | Sorger | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 58% |
| Sets won | 65% | 56% |
| Games won | 56% | 51% |