Roberto Carballes Baena vs Taro DanielPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Roberto Carballes Baena and Taro Daniel have met 5 times since 2016; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Sao Paulo in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 3–1. Across all meetings Baena has taken 7 sets to Daniel's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carballes Baena | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roberto Carballes Baena | Taro Daniel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 14/24 | 73% | 29/40 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 10/23 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/47 | 31% | 19/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 12/28 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 77% | 23/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 7/16 | 53% | 10/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 83% | 35/42 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 69% | 29/42 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carballes Baena 3, Daniel 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Daniel
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Roberto Carballes Baena and Taro Daniel are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 27, 2023
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · 2nd Round
Mar 8, 2023
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 7, 2019
Buenos Aires
C Clay · Round of 32
Jul 16, 2018
Gstaad
C Clay · Round of 16
Feb 12, 2016
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baena | Daniel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roberto Carballes Baena | Taro Daniel | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baena | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.73 |
| ROI % | -54.3% | +5.1% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | +0.82u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baena | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 6 |
| Distance | — | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | — | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Daniel has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Baena's 43%).
| Opponent | Baena | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 60 63 | L 62 26 26 |
| William Rejchtman Vinciguerra | W 60 63 | W 62 76 |
| Jacob Fearnley | L 67 36 | W 64 61 |
| Carlos Sanchez Jover | L | W 62 26 62 |
| Raul Brancaccio | W 64 36 63 | W 36 63 63 |
| Jonas Forejtek | L 62 16 36 | W 76 61 |
| Rei Sakamoto | L 46 36 | L 67 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Shintaro Mochizuki
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Fabian Marozsan
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dane Sweeny
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Hayato Matsuoka
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Jake Delaney
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Shanghai Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Matthew Dellavedova
Shanghai Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–61 matches
| Metric | Baena | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 66% |
| Sets won | 51% | 62% |
| Games won | 51% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baena | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 3 | 1 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baena | Daniel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 3 | 1 |
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