Roberto Carballes Baena vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5w4 meetings · sets 3–7
🇳🇱Tallon Griekspoor
#58 · 30 yrs · R
3Roberto Carballes Baena and Tallon Griekspoor have met 4 times since 2021; Tallon Griekspoor leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Murcia Challenger in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Griekspoor leads 2–1. 2 of their meetings have been finals, with Griekspoor leading those 2–0. Across all meetings Baena has taken 3 sets to Griekspoor's 7. Their most recent meeting: Tallon Griekspoor won at Terra Wortmann Open - Halle (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carballes Baena | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roberto Carballes Baena | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 14/24 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 10/22 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/46 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 12/27 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 7/16 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carballes Baena 0, Griekspoor 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tallon Griekspoor.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 20, 2023
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle
G Grass · 1st Round
Apr 7, 2023
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Jul 17, 2022
Amersfoort Challenger
C Clay · Final
Oct 3, 2021
Murcia Challenger
C Clay · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baena | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roberto Carballes Baena | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baena | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | -54.3% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | +0.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baena | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Baena's 0%).
| Opponent | Baena | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Zhizhen Zhang | L 46 46 | L 67 46 |
| Alex Molcan | L 60 36 46 | W 62 64 |
| Alexander Blockx | L 67 63 57 | L 76 36 46 |
| Pablo Carreno Busta | L 46 36 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Nicolas Mejia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–46 matches
| Metric | Baena | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 43% |
| Sets won | 52% | 45% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baena | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 2 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baena | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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