Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefano TravagliaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5w4 meetings · sets 6–5
🇮🇹Stefano Travaglia
#173 · 34 yrs · R
3wRoberto Carballes Baena and Stefano Travaglia have met 4 times since 2017; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Ostrava in 2017 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 2–1. Across all meetings Baena has taken 6 sets to Travaglia's 5. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Parma Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carballes Baena | Travaglia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Roberto Carballes Baena | Stefano Travaglia | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 58% | 14/24 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 10/22 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/46 | 36% | 22/61 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 12/27 | 50% | 19/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 9/17 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 44% | 7/16 | 27% | 9/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 20/24 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 58% | 14/24 | 68% | 23/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carballes Baena 1, Travaglia 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Travaglia
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 1,744 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Stefano Travaglia.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 17, 2026
Parma Challenger
C Clay · 2nd Round
Feb 1, 2021
Great Ocean Road Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 16, 2019
Gstaad
C Clay · Round of 16
May 5, 2017
Ostrava
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Baena | Travaglia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Roberto Carballes Baena | Stefano Travaglia | ||
| 1 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Baena | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–4 | 1–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.99 |
| ROI % | -54.3% | -79.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.26u | -6.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Baena | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Travaglia has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Baena's 50%).
| Opponent | Baena | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Max Hans Rehberg | W 64 64 | L 36 16 |
| Jesper de Jong | L 36 26 | L 76 36 16 |
| Raul Brancaccio | W 64 36 63 | W 62 62 |
| Alex Molcan | L 60 36 46 | W |
| Eero Vasa | L 46 63 67 | W 64 57 75 |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | W 60 63 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Marvin Moeller
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Thiago Monteiro
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Enrico Dalla Valle
Genoa Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Stefano Napolitano
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Harry Wendelken
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Nicolas Kicker
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Matej Dodig
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Max Hans Rehberg
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–63 matches
| Metric | Baena | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 56% |
| Sets won | 52% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Baena | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Baena | Travaglia |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 1 |
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