Rinky Hijikata vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rinky Hijikata and Sho Shimabukuro have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Seoul Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Hijikata leads 2–1. Across all meetings Hijikata has taken 5 sets to Shimabukuro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sho Shimabukuro won at San Diego Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hijikata | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rinky Hijikata | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 27/48 | 70% | 31/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 9/31 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 30/79 | 32% | 22/69 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 20/43 | 53% | 20/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 18/30 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 26/39 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 34/37 | 87% | 40/46 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 27/37 | 67% | 31/46 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hijikata 2, Shimabukuro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hijikata
⚙️ Grinder
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Sho Shimabukuro.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 30, 2026
San Diego Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 8, 2023
Cary 1 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 21, 2023
Ilkley Challenger
G Grass · 2nd Round
Apr 24, 2023
Seoul Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hijikata | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rinky Hijikata | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 72% | 13/18 | 87% | 13/15 |
| 5 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/18 | 27% | 4/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–8 | 7–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 2.30 |
| ROI % | +15.7% | -9.9% |
| Units P/L | +2.98u | -1.48u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km | 1,024 mi · 1,648 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Hijikata and Shimabukuro posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 46 | L 46 57 |
| Marcos Giron | W 75 67 61 | L 36 57 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 36 26 | L 26 16 |
| Chris Rodesch | L 67 26 | W 76 76 |
| Leandro Riedi | W 75 63 | L 57 16 |
| Adam Walton | L 36 76 16 | W 63 64 |
| Alex Bolt | W 63 63 | W 62 67 63 |
| Yibing Wu | L 16 67 | L 36 67 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 63 61 | W 63 64 |
| Bernard Tomic | W 36 64 63 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Darwin Blanch
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Jakub Mensik
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Luciano Darderi
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Gael Monfils
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Jaume Munar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 2
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Marin Cilic
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jaime Faria
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Frances Tiafoe
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Tallon Griekspoor
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ben Shelton
Boss Open - Stuttgart · Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 70–83 matches
| Metric | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 63% |
| Sets won | 55% | 60% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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