Rinky Hijikata vs Sho ShimabukuroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Rinky Hijikata and Sho Shimabukuro have met 4 times since 2023; they are level 2–2. Their first meeting came at Seoul Challenger in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Hijikata leads 2–1. Across all meetings Hijikata has taken 5 sets to Shimabukuro's 4. Their most recent meeting: Sho Shimabukuro won at San Diego Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hijikata | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Rinky Hijikata | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 25/45 | 68% | 30/44 |
| Wins a set when losing | 26% | 8/31 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 28/76 | 34% | 25/73 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 17/38 | 52% | 22/42 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 20/35 | 52% | 15/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 66% | 25/38 | 65% | 15/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 32/35 | 87% | 39/45 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 25/35 | 67% | 30/45 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hijikata 2, Shimabukuro 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hijikata
💥 Big Hitter
Shimabukuro
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 4,932 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 30, 2026
San Diego Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 8, 2023
Cary 1 Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 21, 2023
Ilkley Challenger
G Grass · 2nd Round
Apr 24, 2023
Seoul Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hijikata | Shimabukuro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Rinky Hijikata | Sho Shimabukuro | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 10/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–8 | 4–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.81 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | -17.5% | -58.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.45u | -7.58u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 3 |
| Distance | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km | 2,283 mi · 3,674 km |
| Route | CHN → JPN → CHN | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Hijikata and Shimabukuro posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Denis Shapovalov | L 62 36 26 | L 57 16 |
| Frances Tiafoe | L 46 46 | L 46 57 |
| Marcos Giron | W 75 67 61 | L 36 57 |
| Nikoloz Basilashvili | L 36 26 | L 26 16 |
| Chris Rodesch | L 67 26 | W 76 76 |
| Leandro Riedi | W 75 63 | L 57 16 |
| Adam Walton | L 36 76 16 | W 63 64 |
| Alex Bolt | W 63 63 | W 62 67 63 |
| Yibing Wu | L 16 67 | L 36 67 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 63 61 | W 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Andrey Rublev
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Dalibor Svrcina
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Felix Auger Aliassime
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Benjamin Bonzi
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Raphael Collignon
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Miomir Kecmanovic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Denis Shapovalov
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Hugo Gaston
Hangzhou Open - Hangzhou · 1st Round
Sep 24
Anton Shepp
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 4
Sep 20
James Watt
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NZL-JPN 1-3 · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Arthur Rinderknech
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Miomir Kecmanovic
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 23
Hubert Hurkacz
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 75–81 matches
| Metric | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 57% | 59% |
| Sets won | 53% | 56% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hijikata | Shimabukuro |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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