Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇮🇹Raul Brancaccio
#231 · 29 yrs · R
4 meetings · sets 2–8

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wRaul Brancaccio and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 4 times since 2021; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 4–0. Their first meeting came at ATP Masters 1000 Rome in 2021 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 4–0. Baena has won the last 4 meetings. Across all meetings Brancaccio has taken 2 sets to Baena's 8. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Cattolica Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Brancaccio | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Raul Brancaccio | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 23/34 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 27/69 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 15/27 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 22/37 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 10/22 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 28/37 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 23/37 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Brancaccio 0, Carballes Baena 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Brancaccio
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Raul Brancaccio and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jun 12, 2026
Cattolica Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Nov 22, 2022
Valencia
C Clay · Round of 32
May 16, 2022
Tunis Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
May 9, 2021
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Brancaccio | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Raul Brancaccio | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Brancaccio | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–9 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.50 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -25.2% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.28u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Brancaccio | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 673 mi · 1,083 km | — |
| Route | POL → ITA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 5 shared opponents, both Brancaccio and Baena posted a 40% win rate.
| Opponent | Brancaccio | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Jonas Forejtek | W 62 26 61 | L 62 16 36 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 36 64 63 | L 64 57 36 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 36 46 | L 64 36 36 |
| Stefano Travaglia | L 26 26 | W 61 67 63 |
| Miguel Damas | L 62 26 57 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Moez Echargui
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Filippo Romano
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Hynek Barton
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jaume Munar
Seville Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Seville Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Jonas Forejtek
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Duje Ajdukovic
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–69 matches
| Metric | Brancaccio | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 52% |
| Sets won | 51% | 52% |
| Games won | 50% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Brancaccio | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Brancaccio | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 4 |
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