Peyton Stearns vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#37 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
33 meetings · sets 3–5
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#172 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
30wPeyton Stearns and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2024; Varvara Gracheva leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Hobart International - Hobart in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Gracheva leads 2–1. Across all meetings Stearns has taken 3 sets to Gracheva's 5. Their most recent meeting: Varvara Gracheva won at ATX Open - Austin (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Stearns | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Peyton Stearns | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 19/25 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 11/23 | 22% | 2/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/48 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 13/29 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 7/11 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Stearns 0, Gracheva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stearns
💥 Big Hitter
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Peyton Stearns and Varvara Gracheva are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,594 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2025
ATX Open - Austin
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 4, 2025
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2024
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.76 | - |
| ROI % | -15.9% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.22u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 7 | — |
| Distance | 8,184 mi · 13,171 km | — |
| Route | UKR → ROU → CZE | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Stearns and Gracheva posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Viktorija Golubic | L 46 63 36 | W 61 26 61 |
| Belinda Bencic | L 36 36 | L 46 36 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 61 | L 67 06 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 64 62 | W 64 46 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Han Shi
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Viktorija Golubic
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Iva Jovic
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Final
Sep 19
Liudmila Samsonova
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Semifinals
Sep 19
Sloane Stephens
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Diane Parry
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 2nd Round
Sep 15
Emiliana Arango
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 13
Harriet Dart
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 31
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Magdalena Frech
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Feb 14
Priscilla Hon
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 13
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–48 matches
| Metric | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 53% |
| Sets won | 54% | 48% |
| Games won | 51% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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