Peyton Stearns vs Varvara GrachevaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Peyton Stearns
#54 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 3–5
🇫🇷Varvara Gracheva
#148 · 25 yrs · Right-Handed
24wPeyton Stearns and Varvara Gracheva have met 3 times since 2024; Varvara Gracheva leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Hobart International - Hobart in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Gracheva leads 2–1. Across all meetings Stearns has taken 3 sets to Gracheva's 5. Their most recent meeting: Varvara Gracheva won at ATX Open - Austin (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Stearns | Gracheva | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Peyton Stearns | Varvara Gracheva | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 42% | 8/19 | 20% | 2/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 13/39 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 8/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 18/20 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 20% | 1/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Stearns 0, Gracheva 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Stearns
🤖 Servebot
Gracheva
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,090 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 25, 2025
ATX Open - Austin
H Hard · 1st Round
Feb 4, 2025
Transylvania Open - Cluj-Napoca
H Hard · 1st Round
Jan 8, 2024
Hobart International - Hobart
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | - |
| ROI % | -35.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -3.22u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,228 mi · 1,977 km | — |
| Route | ECU → CAN → POL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stearns has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Gracheva's 33%).
| Opponent | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Belinda Bencic | L 36 36 | L 46 36 |
| Maria Sakkari | W 63 61 | L 67 06 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 76 64 | W 61 26 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clara Tauson
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Harriet Dart
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Elena Gabriela Ruse
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Elvina Kalieva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Tatiana Prozorova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Mary Stoiana
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Nikola Bartunkova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Kimberly Birrell
Eastbourne
Jun 21
Magda Linette
Miami Open - Miami · 1st Round
Mar 17
Lilli Tagger
BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells · 1st Round
Mar 5
Jessica Pegula
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 2nd Round
Feb 17
Rebecca Sramkova
Dubai Duty Free Championships - Dubai · 1st Round
Feb 16
Maria Sakkari
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 3rd Round
Feb 11
Linda Noskova
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 2nd Round
Feb 10
Laura Siegemund
Qatar TotalEnergies Open - Doha · 1st Round
Feb 8
Elena Rybakina
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 22
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–39 matches
| Metric | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 38% |
| Sets won | 53% | 36% |
| Games won | 51% | 43% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Stearns | Gracheva |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
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