Pedro Sakamoto vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pedro Sakamoto and Thiago Monteiro have met 3 times since 2016; Thiago Monteiro leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Santos in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 3–0. Monteiro has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sakamoto has taken 1 sets to Monteiro's 6. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Sao Paulo Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakamoto | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pedro Sakamoto | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 26/36 | 56% | 19/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 19/60 | 45% | 25/55 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 13/26 | 41% | 15/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 9/21 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 64% | 9/14 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 32/38 | 81% | 26/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 26/38 | 59% | 19/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakamoto 0, Monteiro 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakamoto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 54% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 979 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2026
Sao Paulo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 9, 2024
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 14, 2016
Santos
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakamoto | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pedro Sakamoto | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 7/14 | 77% | 13/17 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 41% | 7/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–4 | 15–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.75 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -0.8% | +7.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.11u | +1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 673 mi · 1,083 km |
| Route | BRA | POL → ITA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Sakamoto and Monteiro posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Gustavo Heide | L 57 06 | L 46 36 |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | W 64 64 | W 62 62 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | W 46 75 61 | L 63 46 57 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 62 36 36 | L 06 76 36 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 46 46 | W 61 62 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L 46 57 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Guido Ivan Justo
Curitiba Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Eduardo Ribeiro
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Santiago De La Fuente
Curitiba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Mateus Alves
M15 Curitiba · Final
Sep 27
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Curitiba · Semifinals
Sep 26
Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 5
Mika Petkovic
Genoa 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Szczecin Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Marco Trungelliti
Szczecin Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Diego Dedura
Szczecin Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Vitaliy Sachko
Szczecin Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Stefano Travaglia
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Tulln Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–60 matches
| Metric | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 62% |
| Sets won | 58% | 58% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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