Pedro Sakamoto vs Thiago MonteiroPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pedro Sakamoto and Thiago Monteiro have met 3 times since 2016; Thiago Monteiro leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Santos in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Monteiro leads 3–0. Monteiro has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Sakamoto has taken 1 sets to Monteiro's 6. Their most recent meeting: Thiago Monteiro won at Sao Paulo Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sakamoto | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pedro Sakamoto | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 27/39 | 64% | 16/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 21/67 | 40% | 19/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 15/29 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 11/23 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 12/18 | 64% | 14/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 33/40 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 27/40 | 64% | 16/25 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sakamoto 0, Monteiro 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sakamoto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Monteiro
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 790 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thiago Monteiro.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 23, 2026
Sao Paulo Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Mar 9, 2024
Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Sep 14, 2016
Santos
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sakamoto | Monteiro | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pedro Sakamoto | Thiago Monteiro | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 4/7 | 60% | 3/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.52 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | -43.1% | -20.0% |
| Units P/L | -3.02u | -1.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 562 mi · 905 km |
| Route | — | SMR → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Monteiro has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Sakamoto's 25%).
| Opponent | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Andrade | L 46 46 | L 64 46 46 |
| Joao Eduardo Schiessl | W 64 64 | W 62 62 |
| Genaro Alberto Olivieri | W 46 75 61 | L 63 46 57 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L 16 67 | W 36 63 64 |
| Henrique Rocha | L 62 36 36 | L 06 76 36 |
| Pedro Boscardin Dias | L 46 46 | W 61 62 |
| Juan Carlos Prado Angelo | L 46 57 | L 67 16 |
| Nicolas Kicker | L 26 06 | W 36 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alan Magadan
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Tanguy Genier
M25 Klosters · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Andrin Casanova
Futures 2026
Jun 17
Andrin Casanova
M25 Klosters · 1st Round
Jun 17
Oleksii Krutykh
M25 Ceska Lipa · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Imanol Lopez Morillo
M25 Ceska Lipa · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Mikalai Haliak
M25 Ceska Lipa · 1st Round
Jun 9
Mikalai Haliak
Futures 2026
Jun 9
Tom Gentzsch
Hagen Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Andrea Pellegrino
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
David Jorda Sanchis
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Philip Henning
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Dylan Dietrich
Gstaad
Jul 12
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
Gstaad
Jul 11
Pol Martin Tiffon
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
May 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–67 matches
| Metric | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 53% |
| Sets won | 56% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 3 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sakamoto | Monteiro |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 3 |
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