Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Tiago PereiraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pavlos Tsitsipas and Tiago Pereira have met 1 time since 2026; Pavlos Tsitsipas leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tsitsipas has taken 2 sets to Pereira's 1. Their most recent meeting: Pavlos Tsitsipas won at Plovdiv 4 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tsitsipas | Pereira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pavlos Tsitsipas | Tiago Pereira | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 67% | 36/54 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 38% | 16/42 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/47 | 35% | 34/96 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 3/10 | 54% | 30/56 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 19/35 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 13/30 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 79% | 44/56 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 64% | 36/56 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tsitsipas 0, Pereira 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
⚙️ Grinder
Pereira
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 708 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 20, 2026
Plovdiv 4 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tsitsipas | Pereira | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pavlos Tsitsipas | Tiago Pereira | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 17/19 | 90% | 26/29 |
| 3 or more | 68% | 13/19 | 45% | 13/29 |
| 5 or more | 47% | 9/19 | 28% | 8/29 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/19 | 3% | 1/29 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 3% | 1/29 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/19 | 0% | 0/29 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–10 | 17–11 |
| Avg odds | 3.20 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +21.5% | +12.1% |
| Units P/L | +4.08u | +3.38u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 2,623 mi · 4,221 km |
| Route | BUL | POL → BUL → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pereira has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Tsitsipas's 50%).
| Opponent | Tsitsipas | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Robert Strombachs | L 76 67 16 | W 60 64 |
| Niccolo Catini | L 36 46 | L 57 67 |
| Alberto Barroso Campos | L 67 67 | W 64 67 64 |
| Rodrigo Leal | W 75 75 | W 75 61 |
| Noah Lopez Cherubino | W 67 62 76 | W 62 63 |
| Vasco Leote Prata | W 64 62 | W 63 36 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Erik Johansson
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikita Bilozertsev
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nicholas Campbell
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Nikita Mashtakov
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Tiago Pereira
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Robert Strombachs
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Niccolo Catini
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round
Sep 8
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Vienna · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Elmer Moller
Braga Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Braga Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Pol Martin Tiffon
Braga Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 7
Hugo Grenier
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Otto Virtanen
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Pavlos Tsitsipas
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Filip Pieczonka
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Rudolf Molleker
Szczecin Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–96 matches
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 56% |
| Sets won | 41% | 55% |
| Games won | 46% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tsitsipas | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tsitsipas | Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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