Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Shintaro MochizukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pavlos Tsitsipas and Shintaro Mochizuki have met 1 time since 2025; Shintaro Mochizuki leads 1–0. Across all meetings Tsitsipas has taken 0 sets to Mochizuki's 2. Their most recent meeting: Shintaro Mochizuki won at Athens (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tsitsipas | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pavlos Tsitsipas | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 9/18 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 11/29 | 43% | 15/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 20/47 | 45% | 25/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 30% | 3/10 | 23% | 6/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 19/35 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 13/30 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 13/17 | 81% | 17/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 53% | 9/17 | 52% | 11/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tsitsipas 0, Mochizuki 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tsitsipas
⚙️ Grinder
Mochizuki
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🧱 The Wall is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 98 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 1, 2025
Athens
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tsitsipas | Mochizuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pavlos Tsitsipas | Shintaro Mochizuki | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 16/18 | 84% | 16/19 |
| 3 or more | 67% | 12/18 | 42% | 8/19 |
| 5 or more | 50% | 9/18 | 21% | 4/19 |
| 10 or more | 11% | 2/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/19 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–10 | 10–11 |
| Avg odds | 3.28 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +18.5% | -23.6% |
| Units P/L | +3.33u | -4.96u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 4 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 3,937 mi · 6,336 km |
| Route | BUL | CHN → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Erik Johansson
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Nikita Bilozertsev
M15 Heraklion · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nicholas Campbell
M15 Heraklion · 1st Round
Oct 7
Nikita Mashtakov
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Tiago Pereira
Plovdiv 4 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Robert Strombachs
Szczecin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Niccolo Catini
M25 Pozzuoli · 1st Round
Sep 8
Giovanni Oradini
M15 Vienna · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Roman Safiullin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Taro Daniel
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Jaime Faria
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Martin Damm
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Pavel Kotov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Linang Xiao
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Pavel Kotov
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Jakub Mensik
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–63 matches
| Metric | Tsitsipas | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 38% | 40% |
| Sets won | 41% | 43% |
| Games won | 46% | 47% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tsitsipas | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tsitsipas | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.