Paula Badosa vs Simona WaltertPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธPaula Badosa
#83 ยท 28 yrs ยท Right-Handed
5w1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0

๐จ๐ญSimona Waltert
#85 ยท 25 yrs ยท Right-Handed
Paula Badosa and Simona Waltert have met 1 time since 2026; Paula Badosa leads 1โ0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Badosa leading those 1โ0. Across all meetings Badosa has taken 2 sets to Waltert's 0. Their most recent meeting: Paula Badosa won at Nordea Open - Bastad (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Badosa | Waltert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Paula Badosa | Simona Waltert | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 18/23 | 67% | 24/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 8/16 | 30% | 8/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 13/39 | 32% | 20/63 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 55% | 17/31 | 57% | 20/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 4/8 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 58% | 7/12 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 18/23 | 71% | 24/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Badosa 1, Waltert 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Badosa
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Waltert
๐ช Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The ๐ฅ Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ๐ช Counterpuncher across 7,380 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Paula Badosa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 11, 2026
Nordea Open - Bastad
C Clay ยท Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Badosa | Waltert | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Paula Badosa | Simona Waltert | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 16/17 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 12/17 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 35% | 6/17 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Badosa | Waltert |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13โ4 | 7โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.70 | 2.38 |
| ROI % | +18.2% | -27.0% |
| Units P/L | +3.09u | -4.05u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Badosa | Waltert |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 2 |
| Matches | โ | 3 |
| Distance | โ | 501 mi ยท 807 km |
| Route | โ | POL โ ESP |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Badosa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Waltert's 25%).
| Opponent | Badosa | Waltert |
|---|---|---|
| Mayar Sherif | L 67 76 46 | L 75 46 67 |
| Katarzyna Kawa | W 75 64 | L 16 46 |
| Anhelina Kalinina | W 63 61 | L 36 46 |
| Daria Snigur | L 16 67 | L 26 46 |
| Katerina Siniakova | W 63 75 | L 46 67 |
| Julia Grabher | L 67 64 06 | L 46 36 |
| Sinja Kraus | W 75 61 | W 46 62 76 |
| Oksana Selekhmeteva | L 46 46 | W 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Panna Udvardy
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Katarzyna Kawa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท 1st Round
Jul 22
Tamara Zidansek
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท Semifinals
Jul 18
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Alevtina Ibragimova
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Anhelina Kalinina
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Final
Jul 11
Fiona Crawley
Philly Open - Philadelphia ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Jessica Pegula
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Petra Marcinko
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Mayar Sherif
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg ยท 1st Round
Jul 22
Katarzyna Kawa
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Paula Badosa
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Final
Jul 11
Kaitlin Quevedo
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Semifinals
Jul 10
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Nordea Open - Bastad ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 39โ63 matches
| Metric | Badosa | Waltert |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 57% |
| Sets won | 59% | 55% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Badosa | Waltert |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Badosa | Waltert |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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