Paolo Lorenzi vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Paolo Lorenzi and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 3 times since 2016; Roberto Carballes Baena leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Kitzbuhel in 2016 on clay. On clay courts Baena leads 2–1. Baena has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Lorenzi has taken 3 sets to Baena's 4. Their most recent meeting: Roberto Carballes Baena won at Gstaad (2019).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lorenzi | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Paolo Lorenzi | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | — | 58% | 14/24 | |
| Wins a set when losing | — | 45% | 10/22 | |
| Goes to a deciding set | — | 43% | 20/46 | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | — | 44% | 12/27 | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 53% | 9/17 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | — | 44% | 7/16 | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | — | 83% | 20/24 | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | — | 58% | 14/24 | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lorenzi 1, Carballes Baena 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lorenzi
⚙️ Grinder
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 708 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 12, 2019
Gstaad
C Clay · Round of 32
Feb 8, 2018
Quito
C Clay · Round of 16
Jul 13, 2016
Kitzbuhel
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lorenzi | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.16 |
| ROI % | - | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | - | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joao Sousa
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Maxime Janvier
US Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Nino Serdarusic
Verona Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 18
Gonzalo Oliveira
Verona · Round of 32
Aug 17
Goncalo Oliveira
Verona Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Marco Cecchinato
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 9
Zdenek Kolar
Cordenons Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 3
Maxime Cressy
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 1st Round
Jul 13
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–46 matches
| Metric | Lorenzi | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | - | 52% |
| Sets won | - | 52% |
| Games won | - | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lorenzi | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 1 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lorenzi | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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