Pablo Carreno Busta vs Zizou BergsPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Zizou Bergs have met 1 time since 2025; Zizou Bergs leads 1–0. Across all meetings Busta has taken 1 sets to Bergs's 2. Their most recent meeting: Zizou Bergs won at Auckland (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Bergs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Zizou Bergs | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 18/34 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 8/18 | 36% | 8/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 24/52 | 37% | 17/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 14/29 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 86% | 18/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 71% | 15/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 0, Bergs 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Bergs
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,017 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jan 4, 2025
Auckland
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Bergs | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Zizou Bergs | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 83% | 10/12 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 75% | 9/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 25% | 3/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.00 |
| ROI % | -9.8% | -31.4% |
| Units P/L | -1.18u | -4.40u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,092 mi · 1,758 km |
| Route | CHN | JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 10 shared opponents, both Busta and Bergs posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Busta | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 64 16 | W 64 62 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 46 76 64 | L 46 64 36 |
| Vit Kopriva | L 36 61 46 | W 63 61 |
| Jiri Lehecka | L 16 67 64 26 | L 36 76 36 |
| Adrian Mannarino | W 63 64 | W 64 63 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | L 63 67 64 67 36 |
| Adolfo Daniel Vallejo | L | L 46 36 |
| Andrea Pellegrino | W 63 64 | W 63 62 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 16 | W 64 61 |
| Tomas Machac | W 63 62 | L 46 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Ignacio Buse
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Vit Kopriva
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Jiri Lehecka
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Jurij Rodionov
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Lukas Neumayer
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, AUT-BEL · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 6
Jesper de Jong
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Carlos Taberner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–58 matches
| Metric | Busta | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 52% |
| Sets won | 58% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Bergs |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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