Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin RoyerPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Valentin Royer have met 1 time since 2026; Valentin Royer leads 1–0. Across all meetings Busta has taken 1 sets to Royer's 2. Their most recent meeting: Valentin Royer won at National Bank Open - Montreal (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Royer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Valentin Royer | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 23/40 | 65% | 22/34 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 31% | 10/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 27/60 | 33% | 22/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 18/38 | 51% | 18/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 31/35 | 90% | 27/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 73% | 22/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 0, Royer 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Royer
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 279 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 4, 2026
National Bank Open - Montreal
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Royer | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Valentin Royer | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 17/17 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 65% | 11/17 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 11–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.65 |
| ROI % | +0.8% | -4.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.07u | -0.76u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 3 | 8 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 2,244 mi · 3,611 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN → USA → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (70% vs Royer's 30%).
| Opponent | Busta | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Pedro Martinez | W 64 46 64 | W 64 62 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 16 | L 36 46 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 63 76 | L 67 26 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 75 36 64 | L 57 76 67 |
| Francisco Comesana | W 64 63 | L 62 36 46 |
| Sebastian Baez | W 57 75 75 | W 62 63 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 26 16 | L 26 46 |
| Kimmer Coppejans | W 62 63 | L 46 67 |
| Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | L 36 36 | L 64 16 46 |
| Luca Nardi | W 67 64 76 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Pedro Martinez
Kingston 1 Challenger · Final
Aug 23
Clement Chidekh
Kingston 1 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 21
Gonzalo Bueno
Kingston 1 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Tyler Zink
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Luis Felipe Miguel
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Tommy Paul
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Pablo Carreno Busta
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–71 matches
| Metric | Busta | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 51% |
| Sets won | 60% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Masters 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Royer |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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