Pablo Carreno Busta vs Thanasi KokkinakisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇪🇸Pablo Carreno Busta
#65 · 35 yrs · R
2 meetings · sets 2–1
🇦🇺Thanasi Kokkinakis
#419 · 30 yrs · R
9wPablo Carreno Busta and Thanasi Kokkinakis have met 2 times since 2026; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Roland Garros in 2026 on clay. On clay courts Busta leads 2–0. Busta has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Busta has taken 2 sets to Kokkinakis's 1. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at French Open - Paris (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Kokkinakis | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Thanasi Kokkinakis | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 18/34 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 8/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 24/52 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 14/29 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 100% | 3/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 0, Kokkinakis 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Kokkinakis
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Thanasi Kokkinakis.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 27, 2026
French Open - Paris
C Clay · 2nd Round
May 27, 2026
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 64
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Kokkinakis |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 1.93 |
| ROI % | -9.8% | -64.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.18u | -1.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Kokkinakis |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Nuno Borges
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Alexei Popyrin
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Adam Walton
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Evan Zhu
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Alexander Bublik
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Jerome Kym
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Ammar Elamin
Dublin Challenger · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Harold Mayot
Dublin Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–58 matches
| Metric | Busta | Kokkinakis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 62% |
| Sets won | 58% | 59% |
| Games won | 52% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Kokkinakis |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Kokkinakis |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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