Pablo Carreno Busta vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Tallon Griekspoor have met 3 times since 2022; Tallon Griekspoor leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Griekspoor has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Busta has taken 4 sets to Griekspoor's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tallon Griekspoor won at Open Occitanie - Montpellier (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 18/34 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 8/18 | 40% | 8/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 24/52 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 14/29 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 84% | 16/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 68% | 13/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 0, Griekspoor 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tallon Griekspoor.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 5, 2026
Open Occitanie - Montpellier
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 3, 2025
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 19, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 2.59 |
| ROI % | -9.8% | +1.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.18u | +0.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | 1,611 mi · 2,592 km |
| Route | CHN | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Busta's 38%).
| Opponent | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | L 36 64 16 | L 67 26 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | W 46 76 64 | L 67 64 46 |
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 16 | L 46 75 67 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 63 76 | L 46 67 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 36 64 26 | W 76 64 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | W 62 67 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 64 62 67 36 | W 63 36 62 |
| Quentin Halys | L 64 57 36 | W 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Pavel Kotov
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Andrey Rublev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Denis Shapovalov
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Nicolas Mejia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 2
Sep 18
Ben Shelton
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–58 matches
| Metric | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 43% |
| Sets won | 58% | 45% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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