Pablo Carreno Busta vs Tallon GriekspoorPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Tallon Griekspoor have met 3 times since 2022; Tallon Griekspoor leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Australian Open - Melbourne in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Griekspoor has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Busta has taken 4 sets to Griekspoor's 6. Their most recent meeting: Tallon Griekspoor won at Open Occitanie - Montpellier (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 23/40 | 67% | 12/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 27/60 | 41% | 16/39 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 18/38 | 35% | 7/20 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 56% | 9/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 31/35 | 76% | 16/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 57% | 12/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 0, Griekspoor 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Griekspoor
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 5, 2026
Open Occitanie - Montpellier
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 3, 2025
Grand Prix Hassan II - Marrakech
C Clay · 2nd Round
Jan 19, 2022
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Griekspoor | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Tallon Griekspoor | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 33% | 3/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +0.8% | +16.1% |
| Units P/L | +0.07u | +1.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Griekspoor has a higher win rate against shared opponents (71% vs Busta's 29%).
| Opponent | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Andrey Rublev | L 67 16 | W 75 76 |
| Alejandro Tabilo | L 26 16 | L 67 64 46 |
| Luca Van Assche | L 36 64 26 | W 76 64 |
| Denis Shapovalov | W 63 76 | L 46 63 26 |
| Botic van de Zandschulp | W 63 62 | W 62 67 64 |
| Jakub Mensik | L 57 64 62 67 36 | W 63 36 62 |
| Quentin Halys | L 64 57 36 | W 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Daniel Merida Aguilar
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Matteo Arnaldi
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Alexander Zverev
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Lorenzo Sonego
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Alejandro Tabilo
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 27
Edas Butvilas
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Luca Van Assche
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
James Duckworth
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–65 matches
| Metric | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 43% |
| Sets won | 60% | 46% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Griekspoor |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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