Pablo Carreno Busta vs Steve JohnsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Steve Johnson have met 5 times since 2015; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Auckland in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Johnson leads 2–1. On clay courts Busta leads 2–0. Across all meetings Busta has taken 8 sets to Johnson's 5. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Roland Garros (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Johnson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Steve Johnson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 23/40 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 27/60 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 18/38 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 31/35 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 1, Johnson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Johnson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 767 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 4, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 21, 2018
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Semifinals
May 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 25, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 9, 2015
Auckland
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | - |
| ROI % | +0.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.07u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Emilio Nava
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 4
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Los Cabos · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 17
Christopher Eubanks
Dallas · Round of 32
Feb 6
Terence Atmane
Dallas · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 5
Timo Stodder
Dallas · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 4
Michael Mmoh
Charlottesville · Round of 32
Oct 31
Nishesh Basavareddy
Fairfield · Semifinals
Oct 14
Christian Harrison
Fairfield · Quarterfinals
Oct 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–65 matches
| Metric | Busta | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | - |
| Sets won | 60% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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