Pablo Carreno Busta vs Steve JohnsonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Steve Johnson have met 5 times since 2015; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Auckland in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Johnson leads 2–1. On clay courts Busta leads 2–0. Across all meetings Busta has taken 8 sets to Johnson's 5. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Roland Garros (2021).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Johnson | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Steve Johnson | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 18/34 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 8/18 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 24/52 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 14/29 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 1, Johnson 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Johnson
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Steve Johnson.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jun 4, 2021
Roland Garros
C Clay · Round of 32
Aug 21, 2018
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Semifinals
May 8, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Rome
C Clay · Round of 32
Mar 25, 2018
ATP Masters 1000 Miami
H Hard · Round of 32
Jan 9, 2015
Auckland
H Hard · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | - |
| ROI % | -16.8% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.18u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Emilio Nava
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells · 1st Round Qualifying
Mar 4
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Los Cabos · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 17
Christopher Eubanks
Dallas · Round of 32
Feb 6
Terence Atmane
Dallas · 2nd Round Qualifying
Feb 5
Timo Stodder
Dallas · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 4
Michael Mmoh
Charlottesville · Round of 32
Oct 31
Nishesh Basavareddy
Fairfield · Semifinals
Oct 14
Christian Harrison
Fairfield · Quarterfinals
Oct 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–58 matches
| Metric | Busta | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | - |
| Sets won | 58% | - |
| Games won | 52% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 2 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.