Pablo Carreno Busta vs Soonwoo KwonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Soonwoo Kwon have met 3 times since 2021; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Anytech365 Andalucia Open - Marbella in 2021 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Busta has taken 5 sets to Kwon's 3. Their most recent meeting: Soonwoo Kwon won at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Kwon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Soonwoo Kwon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 23/40 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 27/60 | 18% | 5/28 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 18/38 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 31/35 | 100% | 21/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | 90% | 19/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 1, Kwon 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Kwon
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 53% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 102 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Soonwoo Kwon.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 11, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 24, 2021
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard · 2nd Round
Apr 9, 2021
Anytech365 Andalucia Open - Marbella
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Kwon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Soonwoo Kwon | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 3 or more | 63% | 5/8 | 100% | 5/5 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 80% | 4/5 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 20% | 1/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | 5–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | 2.22 |
| ROI % | +0.8% | -0.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.07u | -0.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Busta and Kwon posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 36 63 | W 64 63 63 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 75 36 64 | W 64 46 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Alejandro Moro Canas
Wimbledon · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Martin Landaluce
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Arthur Gea
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Nottingham 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Anton Matusevich
Lexus Nottingham Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Millen Hurrion
Lexus Nottingham Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 13
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 31–65 matches
| Metric | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 81% |
| Sets won | 60% | 76% |
| Games won | 53% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| ATP World Tour 250 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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