Pablo Carreno Busta vs Soonwoo KwonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ช๐ธPablo Carreno Busta
#65 ยท 35 yrs ยท R
3 meetings ยท sets 5โ3

๐ฐ๐ทSoonwoo Kwon
#161 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
4wPablo Carreno Busta and Soonwoo Kwon have met 3 times since 2021; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 2โ1. Their first meeting came at Anytech365 Andalucia Open - Marbella in 2021 on clay. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Busta has taken 5 sets to Kwon's 3. Their most recent meeting: Soonwoo Kwon won at Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide (2023).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Kwon | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Soonwoo Kwon | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 18/34 | 80% | 20/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 8/18 | 0% | 0/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 24/52 | 17% | 5/29 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 14/29 | 72% | 18/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 100% | 22/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 91% | 20/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 1, Kwon 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
๐น Frontrunner
Kwon
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐น Frontrunner vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 411 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jan 11, 2023
Adelaide International 2 - Adelaide
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Aug 24, 2021
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Apr 9, 2021
Anytech365 Andalucia Open - Marbella
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ6 | 1โ0 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 1.62 |
| ROI % | -9.8% | +62.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.18u | +0.62u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | โ |
| Events | 2 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 663 mi ยท 1,067 km | โ |
| Route | CHN | โ |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Busta and Kwon posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Yi Zhou | W 75 63 | W 62 62 |
| Martin Landaluce | W 62 36 63 | W 64 63 63 |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | W 76 75 36 64 | W 64 46 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 24
Sumit Nagal
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, KOR-IND ยท Rubber 4
Sep 19
Dhakshineswar Suresh
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, KOR-IND ยท Rubber 1
Sep 18
Tommy Paul
Wimbledon - London ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Alejandro Moro Canas
Wimbledon ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 30
Martin Landaluce
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
Wimbledon ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Arthur Gea
Wimbledon ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 24
Otto Virtanen
Nottingham 2 Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 32โ58 matches
| Metric | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 84% |
| Sets won | 58% | 78% |
| Games won | 52% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Kwon |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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