Pablo Carreno Busta vs Reda BennaniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Reda Bennani have met 1 time since 2026; Pablo Carreno Busta leads 1–0. Across all meetings Busta has taken 2 sets to Bennani's 0. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at Qatar ExxonMobil Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Bennani | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Reda Bennani | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 53% | 18/34 | 71% | 27/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 8/18 | 44% | 8/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 24/52 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 14/29 | 58% | 21/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 13/22 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 10/15 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 92% | 33/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 75% | 27/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 1, Bennani 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Bennani
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 63% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 398 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pablo Carreno Busta.
Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 14, 2026
Qatar ExxonMobil Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Busta | Bennani | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Pablo Carreno Busta | Reda Bennani | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Bennani |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 2.47 | 1.40 |
| ROI % | -9.8% | -5.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.18u | -0.40u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Bennani |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | 663 mi · 1,067 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Busta has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Bennani's 0%).
| Opponent | Busta | Bennani |
|---|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | W 64 26 76 | L 36 63 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round
Oct 12
Alejandro Tabilo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Mariano Navone
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Daniil Medvedev
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 2
Adrian Mannarino
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Yi Zhou
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jiri Lehecka
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Dmytro Vterkovskiy
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · 1st Round
Aug 5
Pedro Rodenas
M25 Denia · Semifinals
Jul 25
Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Denia · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Adam Lynch
M25 Denia · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Carles Hernandez
M25 Denia · 1st Round
Jul 22
Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Gandia · Semifinals
Jul 19
Anas Mazdrashki
M25 Gandia · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Albert Pedrico Kravtsov
M25 Gandia · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 56–58 matches
| Metric | Busta | Bennani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 68% |
| Sets won | 58% | 64% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Bennani |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Bennani |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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