Pablo Carreno Busta vs Pablo CuevasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Pablo Carreno Busta and Pablo Cuevas have met 5 times since 2015; Pablo Cuevas leads 3–2. Their first meeting came at Valencia in 2015 on hard. On hard courts Busta leads 2–1. On clay courts Cuevas leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Cuevas leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Busta has taken 4 sets to Cuevas's 7. Their most recent meeting: Pablo Carreno Busta won at ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells (2017).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carreno Busta | Cuevas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Pablo Carreno Busta | Pablo Cuevas | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 23/40 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | — | |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 27/60 | — | |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 18/38 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 57% | 12/21 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 10/16 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 31/35 | — | |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 23/35 | — | |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carreno Busta 1, Cuevas 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Busta
🏹 Frontrunner
Cuevas
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 57% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 247 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pablo Cuevas.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Mar 16, 2017
ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Mar 4, 2017
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Semifinals
Aug 15, 2016
Winston-Salem
H Hard · Round of 16
Feb 28, 2016
Sao Paulo
C Clay · Final
Oct 28, 2015
Valencia
H Hard · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Busta | Cuevas |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–5 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.29 | - |
| ROI % | +0.8% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.07u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Busta | Cuevas |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 712 mi · 1,146 km | — |
| Route | CAN → USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andrey Rublev
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Tomas Machac
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Valentin Royer
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 4
Luca Van Assche
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Vilius Gaubas
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Matej Dodig
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag · 1st Round
Jul 14
Rafael Jodar
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Luca Van Assche
US Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 19
Giulio Zeppieri
Australian Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jan 9
Filip Misolic
Umag · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 22
Hugo Gaston
Iasi · Round of 16
Jul 13
Gauthier Onclin
Iasi · Round of 32
Jul 11
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Milan · Round of 16
Jul 5
Stefano Travaglia
Milan · Round of 32
Jul 4
Felipe Meligeni Alves
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jul 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 65–65 matches
| Metric | Busta | Cuevas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | - |
| Sets won | 60% | - |
| Games won | 53% | - |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Busta | Cuevas |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 3 |
| ATP Masters 1000 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Busta | Cuevas |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.