Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇪Nikoloz Basilashvili
#124 · 34 yrs · R
45 meetings · sets 10–1
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wNikoloz Basilashvili and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 5 times since 2015; Nikoloz Basilashvili leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Napoli in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Basilashvili leads 3–0. Basilashvili has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Basilashvili has taken 10 sets to Baena's 1. Their most recent meeting: Nikoloz Basilashvili won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Basilashvili | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nikoloz Basilashvili | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 21/31 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 25% | 7/28 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 17/59 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 6/22 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 21/32 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 12/26 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 21/31 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Basilashvili 4, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Basilashvili
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nikoloz Basilashvili.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 21, 2025
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 26, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay · Round of 64
Jul 24, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 13, 2018
Antalya
G Grass · Round of 32
Apr 9, 2015
Napoli
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Basilashvili | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nikoloz Basilashvili | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 73% | 11/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 47% | 7/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–7 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.89 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | -3.3% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.49u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 3 | — |
| Matches | 10 | — |
| Distance | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km | — |
| Route | CHN | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Basilashvili's 20%).
| Opponent | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andrea Huesler | L 16 57 | L 36 67 |
| Raul Brancaccio | L | W 64 36 63 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 67 67 | L 64 36 36 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 76 64 | W 61 67 63 |
| Sandro Kopp | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrian Mannarino
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 7
Liam Draxl
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Andre Ilagan
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Semifinals
Sep 28
Jenson Brooksby
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · Quarterfinals
Sep 27
Botic van de Zandschulp
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 2nd Round
Sep 25
Miomir Kecmanovic
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round
Sep 24
Federico Cina
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–59 matches
| Metric | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 51% |
| Sets won | 51% | 51% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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