Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇬🇪Nikoloz Basilashvili
#132 · 34 yrs · R
5w5 meetings · sets 10–1

🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wNikoloz Basilashvili and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 5 times since 2015; Nikoloz Basilashvili leads 5–0. Their first meeting came at Napoli in 2015 on clay. On clay courts Basilashvili leads 3–0. Basilashvili has won the last 5 meetings. Across all meetings Basilashvili has taken 10 sets to Baena's 1. Their most recent meeting: Nikoloz Basilashvili won at Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Basilashvili | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nikoloz Basilashvili | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 18/29 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 21% | 6/28 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 17/57 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 28% | 7/25 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 58% | 15/26 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 12/24 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 4 of 5 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Basilashvili 4, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Basilashvili
🤖 Servebot
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nikoloz Basilashvili.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
5 career meetings, newest first
Jul 21, 2025
Plava Laguna Croatia Open - Umag
C Clay · 1st Round
Jul 26, 2021
Tokyo Olympics
C Clay · Round of 64
Jul 24, 2021
Olympics - Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Jun 13, 2018
Antalya
G Grass · Round of 32
Apr 9, 2015
Napoli
C Clay · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Basilashvili | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nikoloz Basilashvili | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–7 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.86 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | -30.0% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | -3.30u | -2.84u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Basilashvili has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Baena's 29%).
| Opponent | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Marc-Andrea Huesler | L 16 57 | L 36 67 |
| Tiago Torres | L 46 26 | W 61 63 |
| Mackenzie McDonald | W 62 76 | L 46 46 |
| Sebastian Ofner | L 67 67 | L 64 36 36 |
| Stefano Travaglia | W 76 64 | W 61 67 63 |
| Sandro Kopp | L 36 46 | L 36 26 |
| Rei Sakamoto | W 62 36 61 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Michael Vrbensky
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tiago Torres
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 20
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jan Choinski
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 14
Guy Den Ouden
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Arthur Rinderknech
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Vilius Gaubas
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 47–57 matches
| Metric | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 55% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 250 | 2 | 0 |
| Other | 2 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Basilashvili | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 3 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.