Nicolas Mejia vs Stefan KozlovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π¨π΄Nicolas Mejia
#119 Β· 26 yrs Β· R
43 meetings Β· sets 6β1

πΊπΈStefan Kozlov
#290 Β· 28 yrs Β· R
Nicolas Mejia and Stefan Kozlov have met 3 times since 2020; Nicolas Mejia leads 3β0. Their first meeting came at Cary in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Mejia leads 2β0. Mejia has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mejia has taken 6 sets to Kozlov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Mejia won at Granby Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mejia | Kozlov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nicolas Mejia | Stefan Kozlov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 21/37 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 5/26 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 21/63 | 46% | 26/56 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 12/25 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 21/34 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 14/29 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 21/34 | 52% | 16/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mejia 2, Kozlov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mejia
π₯ Big Hitter
Kozlov
πͺ Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
π₯ Big Hitter vs πͺ Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 17, 2024
Granby Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round
Mar 29, 2022
Pereira Challenger
C Clay Β· 1st Round
Nov 9, 2020
Cary
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mejia | Kozlov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nicolas Mejia | Stefan Kozlov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β7 | 2β7 |
| Avg odds | 2.91 | 2.20 |
| ROI % | +30.8% | -60.9% |
| Units P/L | +4.00u | -5.48u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 4 |
| Distance | 5,846 mi Β· 9,409 km | 2,418 mi Β· 3,891 km |
| Route | FRA β CHN | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Kozlov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Mejia's 40%).
| Opponent | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | W 63 36 62 | L 63 36 26 |
| Yi Zhou | L 67 36 | L 36 63 46 |
| Yibing Wu | L 46 46 | W 64 26 64 |
| Karl Poling | L 46 46 | W 64 76 |
| Daniil Glinka | L 36 36 | W 62 63 |
| James Duckworth | W 76 62 | L 36 26 |
| Andres Martin | W 64 64 | L 26 26 |
| Cedrik-Marcel Stebe | L 67 36 | W 36 62 63 |
| Juan Sebastian Gomez | W 64 64 | L 64 46 57 |
| Murphy Cassone | L 36 75 36 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round
Oct 8
Michael Zheng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Chun-Hsin Tseng
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Ugo Blanchet
St. Tropez Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Tallon Griekspoor
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 Β· Rubber 2
Sep 18
Liam Draxl
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 14
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Oct 1
James Kent Trotter
Columbus Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 29
Colton Smith
San Diego 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 22
Darwin Blanch
Tiburon Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 15
Harry Wendelken
Brownsburg Challenger Β· 2nd Round
Aug 13
Aidan Mayo
Brownsburg Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 12
Zachary Svajda
Citi Open - Washington Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Alan Magadan
Bloomfield Hills Challenger Β· 1st Round
Jul 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 56β66 matches
| Metric | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 52% |
| Sets won | 54% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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