Nicolas Mejia vs Stefan KozlovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Nicolas Mejia and Stefan Kozlov have met 3 times since 2020; Nicolas Mejia leads 3–0. Their first meeting came at Cary in 2020 on hard. On hard courts Mejia leads 2–0. Mejia has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Mejia has taken 6 sets to Kozlov's 1. Their most recent meeting: Nicolas Mejia won at Granby Challenger (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Mejia | Kozlov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nicolas Mejia | Stefan Kozlov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 23/39 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 4/28 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 20/67 | 48% | 23/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 15/31 | 46% | 13/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 16/32 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 16/32 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 87% | 26/30 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 23/34 | 50% | 15/30 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Mejia 2, Kozlov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Mejia
💥 Big Hitter
Kozlov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 17, 2024
Granby Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Mar 29, 2022
Pereira Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Nov 9, 2020
Cary
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Mejia | Kozlov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nicolas Mejia | Stefan Kozlov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 93% | 13/14 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 57% | 8/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 2/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–6 | 3–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.46 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | +36.7% | +13.0% |
| Units P/L | +6.24u | +0.91u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 2 |
| Distance | 1,959 mi · 3,153 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | CAN → USA → MEX | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kozlov has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Mejia's 40%).
| Opponent | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Yi Zhou | L 67 36 | L 36 63 46 |
| Karl Poling | L 46 46 | W 64 76 |
| Daniil Glinka | L 36 36 | W 62 63 |
| James Duckworth | W 76 62 | L 36 26 |
| Andres Martin | W 64 64 | L 26 26 |
| Cedrik-Marcel Stebe | L 67 36 | W 36 62 63 |
| Tyler Zink | W 46 63 75 | W 64 61 |
| Juan Sebastian Gomez | W 64 64 | L 64 46 57 |
| Juan Bautista Torres | L 46 36 | W 60 46 63 |
| Murphy Cassone | L 36 75 36 | W 76 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Adam Walton
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Martin Landaluce
National Bank Open - Montreal · 1st Round
Aug 3
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · Final
Jul 12
Juan Pablo Varillas
Bogota Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 11
Hernan Casanova
Bogota Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Santiago Rodriguez Taverna
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Harry Wendelken
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Aidan Mayo
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Alan Magadan
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Yi Zhou
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Tommaso Compagnucci
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Jacob Fearnley
Newport Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 10
Yibing Wu
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Garrett Johns
Newport challenger
Jul 7
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–70 matches
| Metric | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 56% |
| Sets won | 54% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 3 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Mejia | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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