Nicolas Arseneault vs Tristan SchoolkatePrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐จ๐ฆNicolas Arseneault
#1066 ยท 19 yrs ยท L
7w1 meeting ยท sets 0โ2

๐ฆ๐บTristan Schoolkate
#155 ยท 25 yrs ยท R
Nicolas Arseneault and Tristan Schoolkate have met 1 time since 2026; Tristan Schoolkate leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Arseneault has taken 0 sets to Schoolkate's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tristan Schoolkate won at Quebec City Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Arseneault | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Nicolas Arseneault | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 4/7 | 66% | 21/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 4/15 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 7/22 | 41% | 26/63 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 3/6 | 54% | 19/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 5/15 | 63% | 15/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 48% | 16/33 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 60% | 6/10 | 83% | 24/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 40% | 4/10 | 72% | 21/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Arseneault 0, Schoolkate 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Arseneault
๐พ All-Court
Schoolkate
๐ค Servebot
Matchup analysis
The ๐ค Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs ๐พ All-Court across 703 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tristan Schoolkate.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 17, 2026
Quebec City Challenger
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Arseneault | Schoolkate | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Nicolas Arseneault | Tristan Schoolkate | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 3/4 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 2/4 | 100% | 16/16 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 38% | 6/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/4 | 6% | 1/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1โ5 | 11โ7 |
| Avg odds | 2.54 | 1.89 |
| ROI % | -82.5% | +2.6% |
| Units P/L | -4.95u | +0.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Arseneault | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 2 |
| Events | โ | 4 |
| Matches | โ | 8 |
| Distance | โ | 6,970 mi ยท 11,217 km |
| Route | โ | FRA โ CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Schoolkate has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Arseneault's 0%).
| Opponent | Arseneault | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Draxl | L 46 67 | W 46 75 76 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 63 36 06 | L 46 62 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Jack Anthrop
M15 Champaign ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Champaign ยท 1st Round
Aug 27
Tristan Schoolkate
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Andres Martin
Lexington Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 5
Tyler Zink
Vancouver Challenger ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Alvaro Lopez San Martin
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Dane Sweeny
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Harold Mayot
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Philip Henning
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Matteo Martineau
St. Tropez Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Harold Mayot
Rennes Challenger ยท Semifinals
Sep 19
Matisse Bobichon
Rennes Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Anton Matusevich
Rennes Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Sep 17
Marek Gengel
Rennes Challenger ยท 1st Round
Sep 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 23โ67 matches
| Metric | Arseneault | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 30% | 49% |
| Sets won | 35% | 50% |
| Games won | 46% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Arseneault | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Arseneault | Schoolkate |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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