Naoki Nakagawa vs Yusuke TakahashiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoki Nakagawa and Yusuke Takahashi have met 3 times since 2023; Naoki Nakagawa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Yokohama in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Nakagawa leads 2–1. Across all meetings Nakagawa has taken 4 sets to Takahashi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yusuke Takahashi won at Miyazaki Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakagawa | Takahashi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoki Nakagawa | Yusuke Takahashi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 15/20 | 85% | 23/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 11/37 | 27% | 16/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 13/24 | 52% | 14/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 54% | 14/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 50% | 10/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 78% | 25/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 15/21 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakagawa 2, Takahashi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakagawa
💥 Big Hitter
Takahashi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,665 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 29, 2026
Miyazaki Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 17, 2024
Yokohama
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 19, 2023
Yokohama
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakagawa | Takahashi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoki Nakagawa | Yusuke Takahashi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 88% | 14/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 5 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 13% | 2/16 |
| 10 or more | 29% | 4/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–6 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.05 | 1.68 |
| ROI % | +1.9% | -49.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.27u | -6.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 5 | 7 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → JPN | CHN → JPN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Takahashi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Nakagawa's 63%).
| Opponent | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Naoya Honda | W 61 61 | W 64 64 |
| Koki Matsuda | L 67 26 | W 63 62 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 64 64 | L 75 06 67 |
| Ryuki Matsuda | W 61 64 | W 64 62 |
| Ryo Tabata | W 61 64 | W 62 61 |
| Yuta Kikuchi | L 36 62 46 | W 63 60 |
| Kaichi Uchida | L 63 36 36 | L 64 36 46 |
| Hikaru Shiraishi | W 63 61 | W 26 63 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Naoya Honda
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yua Taka
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · Semifinals
Jul 11
Shintaro Imai
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Chase Ferguson
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Enzo Aguiard
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Chan Yeong Oh
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Kokoro Isomura
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Chan Yeong Oh
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Joshua Charlton
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 19
Asahi Harazaki
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–59 matches
| Metric | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 46% |
| Sets won | 54% | 49% |
| Games won | 52% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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