Naoki Nakagawa vs Yusuke TakahashiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoki Nakagawa and Yusuke Takahashi have met 3 times since 2023; Naoki Nakagawa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Yokohama in 2023 on hard. On hard courts Nakagawa leads 2–1. Across all meetings Nakagawa has taken 4 sets to Takahashi's 2. Their most recent meeting: Yusuke Takahashi won at Miyazaki Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakagawa | Takahashi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoki Nakagawa | Yusuke Takahashi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 13/19 | 83% | 19/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 10/33 | 30% | 16/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 75% | 21/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 68% | 19/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakagawa 2, Takahashi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakagawa
💥 Big Hitter
Takahashi
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 656 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Mar 29, 2026
Miyazaki Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 17, 2024
Yokohama
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 19, 2023
Yokohama
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakagawa | Takahashi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoki Nakagawa | Yusuke Takahashi | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 81% | 13/16 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 63% | 10/16 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 19% | 3/16 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 5–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 1.50 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | -50.9% |
| Units P/L | +0.74u | -6.61u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 4 shared opponents, both Nakagawa and Takahashi posted a 75% win rate.
| Opponent | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Ryuki Matsuda | W 63 76 | W 64 62 |
| Koki Matsuda | L 67 26 | W 63 62 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 64 64 | L 75 06 67 |
| Ryo Tabata | W 61 64 | W 62 61 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Urayasu · Final
Sep 6
Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Urayasu · Semifinals
Sep 5
Ryota Tanuma
M25 Urayasu · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Naoya Honda
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yua Taka
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Siddhant Banthia
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Jesse Delaney
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Hikaru Shiraishi
M25 Sapporo · 1st Round
Sep 8
Chase Ferguson
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Enzo Aguiard
M15 Maanshan · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Chan Yeong Oh
M15 Maanshan · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko
M15 Maanshan · 1st Round
Aug 26
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–54 matches
| Metric | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 43% |
| Sets won | 55% | 47% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakagawa | Takahashi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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