Naoki Nakagawa vs Yua TakaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoki Nakagawa and Yua Taka have met 1 time since 2026; Naoki Nakagawa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakagawa has taken 2 sets to Taka's 0. Their most recent meeting: Naoki Nakagawa won at M25 Urayasu (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakagawa | Taka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoki Nakagawa | Yua Taka | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 13/19 | 87% | 33/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 4% | 1/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 10/33 | 10% | 6/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 25% | 5/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 10% | 1/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 97% | 36/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 89% | 33/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakagawa 1, Taka 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakagawa
💥 Big Hitter
Taka
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naoki Nakagawa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 2, 2026
M25 Urayasu
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakagawa | Taka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoki Nakagawa | Yua Taka | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 80% | 8/10 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 10 or more | 13% | 1/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Taka |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 4–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 2.27 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | -51.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.74u | -5.13u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Urayasu · Final
Sep 6
Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Urayasu · Semifinals
Sep 5
Ryota Tanuma
M25 Urayasu · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Naoya Honda
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yua Taka
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Egor Pleshivtsev
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Tin Chen
M25 Luan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Zihao Liu
M25 Luan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Cuihaozhe Guo
M25 Luan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Isaac Becroft
M15 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Wenze Li
M15 Luan · 1st Round
Sep 30
Matthew Shearer
M15 Luan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Zhe Jiang
M15 Luan · 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–62 matches
| Metric | Nakagawa | Taka |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 61% |
| Sets won | 55% | 59% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakagawa | Taka |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakagawa | Taka |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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