Naoki Nakagawa vs Sho KatayamaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoki Nakagawa and Sho Katayama have met 1 time since 2025; Naoki Nakagawa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakagawa has taken 2 sets to Katayama's 0. Their most recent meeting: Naoki Nakagawa won at M25 Sapporo 2 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakagawa | Katayama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoki Nakagawa | Sho Katayama | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 0% | 0/3 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 11/36 | 0% | 0/7 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 12/23 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 14/20 | 100% | 4/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakagawa 1, Katayama 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakagawa
🤖 Servebot
Katayama
🏃 Pusher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 64% vs 🏃 Pusher across 36 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naoki Nakagawa.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the pusher's extreme retrieval.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 9, 2025
M25 Sapporo 2
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | - |
| ROI % | -4.4% | - |
| Units P/L | -0.53u | - |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Katayama has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Nakagawa's 0%).
| Opponent | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| Taiyo Yamanaka | L 63 46 46 | W 64 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · Semifinals
Jul 11
Shintaro Imai
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Matsuyama Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 3
Braden Shick
M15 Yanagawa City 1 · Semifinals
Nov 1
Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Yanagawa City 1 · Quarterfinals
Oct 31
Woong Chan Lee
M15 Yanagawa City 1 · 2nd Round
Oct 30
Woong Chan Lee
M15 Yanagawa City · Round of 16
Oct 30
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Yanagawa City 1 · 1st Round
Oct 29
Naoki Nakagawa
M25 Sapporo 2 · 1st Round
Sep 9
Terence Atmane
Matsuyama Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–36 matches
| Metric | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 57% |
| Sets won | 53% | 57% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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