Naoki Nakagawa vs Sho KatayamaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoki Nakagawa and Sho Katayama have met 1 time since 2025; Naoki Nakagawa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakagawa has taken 2 sets to Katayama's 0. Their most recent meeting: Naoki Nakagawa won at M25 Sapporo 2 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakagawa | Katayama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoki Nakagawa | Sho Katayama | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 13/19 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 10/33 | 0% | 0/6 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 100% | 4/4 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakagawa 1, Katayama 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakagawa
💥 Big Hitter
Katayama
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 682 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naoki Nakagawa.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 9, 2025
M25 Sapporo 2
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | - |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | - |
| ROI % | +9.3% | - |
| Units P/L | +0.74u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakagawa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Katayama's 0%).
| Opponent | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| Kuan-Yi Lee | W 63 36 60 | L |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Urayasu · Final
Sep 6
Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Urayasu · Semifinals
Sep 5
Ryota Tanuma
M25 Urayasu · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Naoya Honda
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yua Taka
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 1
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Matsuyama Challenger · 1st Round
Nov 3
Braden Shick
M15 Yanagawa City 1 · Semifinals
Nov 1
Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Yanagawa City 1 · Quarterfinals
Oct 31
Woong Chan Lee
M15 Yanagawa City 1 · 2nd Round
Oct 30
Woong Chan Lee
M15 Yanagawa City · Round of 16
Oct 30
Taiyo Yamanaka
M15 Yanagawa City 1 · 1st Round
Oct 29
Naoki Nakagawa
M25 Sapporo 2 · 1st Round
Sep 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 6–33 matches
| Metric | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 67% |
| Sets won | 55% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakagawa | Katayama |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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