Naoki Nakagawa vs Sanhui ShinPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoki Nakagawa and Sanhui Shin have met 3 times since 2025; Naoki Nakagawa leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Nonthaburi 2 in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Nakagawa leads 2–1. Across all meetings Nakagawa has taken 4 sets to Shin's 3. Their most recent meeting: Naoki Nakagawa won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakagawa | Shin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoki Nakagawa | Sanhui Shin | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 74% | 23/31 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 24% | 6/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 11/36 | 25% | 14/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 12/23 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 32% | 6/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 93% | 26/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 14/20 | 82% | 23/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakagawa 1, Shin 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakagawa
🤖 Servebot
Shin
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 927 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naoki Nakagawa.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jul 8, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard · 1st Round
Apr 14, 2025
Busan
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jan 5, 2025
Nonthaburi 2
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakagawa | Shin | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoki Nakagawa | Sanhui Shin | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 77% | 10/13 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 39% | 5/13 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Shin |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.64 |
| ROI % | -4.4% | 0.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.53u | 0.00u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Shin |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | KAZ → TPE |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Nakagawa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Shin's 33%).
| Opponent | Nakagawa | Shin |
|---|---|---|
| Keisuke Saitoh | W 64 64 | L 76 06 57 |
| Naoya Honda | W 46 62 61 | W 63 60 |
| Yuta Kikuchi | L 36 62 46 | W 36 61 62 |
| Masamichi Imamura | W 64 64 | L 46 16 |
| Emile Hudd | L 67 46 | L 16 26 |
| Hikaru Shiraishi | W 63 61 | L 46 63 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · Semifinals
Jul 11
Shintaro Imai
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Yan Cheng Chen
M25 Taipei · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Akira Santillan
M25 Taipei · 1st Round
Aug 26
Erik Arutiunian
Astana Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 11
Keisuke Saitoh
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Ryotaro Taguchi
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Hitesh Chauhan
M15 Bali · 1st Round
Jul 28
Alexander Chang
M15 Bali · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Yuttana Charoenphon
M15 Bali · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–56 matches
| Metric | Nakagawa | Shin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 55% |
| Sets won | 53% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakagawa | Shin |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakagawa | Shin |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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