Naoki Nakagawa vs Renta TokudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoki Nakagawa and Renta Tokuda have met 1 time since 2026; Naoki Nakagawa leads 1–0. Their most recent meeting: Naoki Nakagawa won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakagawa | Tokuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoki Nakagawa | Renta Tokuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 13/19 | 78% | 7/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 4/14 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 10/33 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 11/21 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 4/8 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 16/18 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 13/18 | 70% | 7/10 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakagawa
💥 Big Hitter
Tokuda
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 19, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| ROI % | +9.3% | +42.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.74u | +1.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Nakagawa and Tokuda posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Nakagawa | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Ryota Tanuma | W 63 63 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ryuki Matsuda
M25 Urayasu · Final
Sep 6
Kuan-Yi Lee
M25 Urayasu · Semifinals
Sep 5
Ryota Tanuma
M25 Urayasu · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Naoya Honda
M25 Urayasu · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Yua Taka
M25 Urayasu · 1st Round
Sep 2
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Joshua Sheehy
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Millen Hurrion
Winnipeg Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 20
Kenta Miyoshi
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Alexander Rozin
Granby Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Naoki Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Shunsuke Nakagawa
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 16
Shu Matsuoka
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jun 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 25–33 matches
| Metric | Nakagawa | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 36% |
| Sets won | 55% | 42% |
| Games won | 53% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakagawa | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakagawa | Tokuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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