Naoki Nakagawa vs Naoya HondaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Naoki Nakagawa and Naoya Honda have met 1 time since 2026; Naoki Nakagawa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Nakagawa has taken 2 sets to Honda's 1. Their most recent meeting: Naoki Nakagawa won at M15 Tokyo (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nakagawa | Honda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Naoki Nakagawa | Naoya Honda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 14/19 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 6/17 | 40% | 10/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 11/36 | 30% | 16/53 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 52% | 12/23 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 77% | 10/13 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 76% | 26/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 14/20 | 65% | 22/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nakagawa 0, Honda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nakagawa
🤖 Servebot
Honda
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,470 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Naoki Nakagawa.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 9, 2026
M15 Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nakagawa | Honda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Naoki Nakagawa | Naoya Honda | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 90% | 18/20 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 75% | 15/20 |
| 5 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 55% | 11/20 |
| 10 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–6 | 12–8 |
| Avg odds | 2.15 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | -4.4% | -0.7% |
| Units P/L | -0.53u | -0.14u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nakagawa | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Nakagawa and Honda posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Nakagawa | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Sanhui Shin | W 64 64 | L 36 06 |
| Takuya Kumasaka | L 57 57 | W 61 36 76 |
| Yusuke Takahashi | L 46 46 | L 46 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Cooper Woestendick
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Clement Chidekh
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · Semifinals
Jul 11
Shintaro Imai
M15 Tokyo · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Naoya Honda
M15 Tokyo · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Sanhui Shin
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 8
Ryota Tanuma
M15 Tokyo · 1st Round
Jul 1
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kaylan Bigun
M25 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Ryan Dickerson
M25 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 4
Keaton Hance
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
Evan Bynoe
M25 Champaign · Final
Jul 26
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · Semifinals
Jul 25
Nikita Filin
M25 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Vignesh Gogineni
M25 Champaign · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 36–53 matches
| Metric | Nakagawa | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 53% |
| Sets won | 53% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nakagawa | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nakagawa | Honda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.