Murphy Cassone vs Thai-Son KwiatkowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Murphy Cassone
#304 · 24 yrs · R
6w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇺🇸Thai-Son Kwiatkowski
#1596 · 31 yrs · R
25wMurphy Cassone and Thai-Son Kwiatkowski have met 1 time since 2025; Murphy Cassone leads 1–0. Across all meetings Cassone has taken 2 sets to Kwiatkowski's 0. Their most recent meeting: Murphy Cassone won at Washington (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cassone | Kwiatkowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Murphy Cassone | Thai-Son Kwiatkowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | — | |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | — | |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 10/22 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 0% | 0/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cassone 1, Kwiatkowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cassone
🤖 Servebot
Kwiatkowski
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 19, 2025
Washington
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cassone | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | - |
| ROI % | -15.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -1.22u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cassone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kwiatkowski's 0%).
| Opponent | Cassone | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Blaise Bicknell | W 67 62 75 | L 62 36 57 |
| Alex Rybakov | W 62 63 | L 67 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Philip Sekulic
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Blaise Bicknell
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tristan Schoolkate
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Darwin Blanch
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Yuta Shimizu
Tyler Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Daniel Milavsky
Tyler Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 3
Blaise Bicknell
Arizona Tennis Classic · 2nd Round Qualifying
Mar 10
Sho Shimabukuro
Nexo Dallas Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Feb 7
Patrick Zahraj
Charlottesville Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 27
Alex Rybakov
Winston-Salem Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 9
Karl Poling
Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 16
Murphy Cassone
Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 19
Strong Kirchheimer
Winston-Salem · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 18
Skander Mansouri
Winston-Salem · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 4–48 matches
| Metric | Cassone | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 0% |
| Sets won | 53% | 11% |
| Games won | 52% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cassone | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cassone | Kwiatkowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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