Murphy Cassone vs Stefan KozlovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Murphy Cassone and Stefan Kozlov have met 1 time since 2025; Stefan Kozlov leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Kozlov leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Cassone has taken 0 sets to Kozlov's 2. Their most recent meeting: Stefan Kozlov won at Champaign Challenger (2025).
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Sioux Falls Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 26 · 11:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 2.47 or longer, Stefan Kozlov has won 17 of 41 (41%). The price implied 32%, so Stefan Kozlov has beaten it by 9 points.
At 1.48 or shorter, Murphy Cassone has won 30 of 41 (73%). The price implied 69%, so Murphy Cassone has beaten it by 4 points.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Murphy Cassone and Stefan Kozlov meet next at the Sioux Falls Challenger on October 26 on hard.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cassone | Kozlov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Murphy Cassone | Stefan Kozlov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 21/30 | 55% | 16/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 18/52 | 46% | 26/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 15/30 | 42% | 13/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 68% | 15/22 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 48% | 13/27 | 41% | 7/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 25/29 | 87% | 27/31 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 21/29 | 52% | 16/31 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cassone 0, Kozlov 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cassone
🤖 Servebot
Kozlov
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,366 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Murphy Cassone.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 16, 2025
Champaign Challenger
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cassone | Kozlov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Murphy Cassone | Stefan Kozlov | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 8/8 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 5 or more | 75% | 6/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cassone | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 1–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.77 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +27.4% | -51.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.19u | -2.56u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cassone | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 1 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | FRA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Cassone has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Kozlov's 20%).
| Opponent | Cassone | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Krueger | W 76 62 | L 26 63 36 |
| Darwin Blanch | L 46 61 36 | L 36 62 67 |
| Harry Wendelken | L | L 62 46 16 |
| Alex Rybakov | W 62 63 | L 67 26 |
| Cedrik-Marcel Stebe | L 67 36 | W 36 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kenta Miyoshi
Fort Worth Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Daniel Masur
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Billy Harris
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Clement Tabur
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Patrick Zahraj
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Hugo Car
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
James Kent Trotter
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Colton Smith
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Darwin Blanch
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Harry Wendelken
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Aidan Mayo
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Zachary Svajda
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Alan Magadan
Bloomfield Hills Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 52–56 matches
| Metric | Cassone | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 52% |
| Sets won | 57% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cassone | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cassone | Kozlov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |