Murphy Cassone vs Rafael JodarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Murphy Cassone and Rafael Jodar have met 2 times since 2025; Rafael Jodar leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Charlottesville Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Jodar leads 2–0. Jodar has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cassone has taken 0 sets to Jodar's 4. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Jodar won at Nexo Dallas Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cassone | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Murphy Cassone | Rafael Jodar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 21/31 | 77% | 40/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 9/22 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 36% | 19/53 | 24% | 16/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 15/31 | 63% | 34/54 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 12/20 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 52% | 14/27 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 87% | 26/30 | 96% | 46/48 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 21/30 | 83% | 40/48 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cassone 0, Jodar 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cassone
🤖 Servebot
Jodar
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,511 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2026
Nexo Dallas Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 28, 2025
Charlottesville Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cassone | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Murphy Cassone | Rafael Jodar | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 9/9 | 88% | 15/17 |
| 3 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 59% | 10/17 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 6/9 | 29% | 5/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 6% | 1/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–2 | 12–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.51 |
| ROI % | +30.0% | +7.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.70u | +1.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 3 |
| Events | 1 | 3 |
| Matches | 6 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 7,032 mi · 11,317 km |
| Route | FRA | GBR → JPN → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jodar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Cassone's 33%).
| Opponent | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Ethan Quinn | L 36 76 36 | W 62 63 |
| Dusan Lajovic | L 57 36 | W 63 64 |
| Mitchell Krueger | W 76 62 | W 63 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 26
Daniel Masur
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Billy Harris
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Clement Tabur
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Patrick Zahraj
St. Tropez Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 21
Hugo Car
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 14
Harry Wendelken
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Alexander Bublik
Laver Cup - London · Round Robin
Sep 25
Cristian Garin
Davis Cup, World Group, Q2, CHI-ESP · Rubber 2
Sep 19
Bu Yunchaokete
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–80 matches
| Metric | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 76% |
| Sets won | 57% | 67% |
| Games won | 53% | 56% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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