Murphy Cassone vs Rafael JodarPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Murphy Cassone and Rafael Jodar have met 2 times since 2025; Rafael Jodar leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Charlottesville Challenger in 2025 on hard. On hard courts Jodar leads 2–0. Jodar has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Cassone has taken 0 sets to Jodar's 4. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Jodar won at Nexo Dallas Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Cassone | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Murphy Cassone | Rafael Jodar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 79% | 41/52 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 25% | 4/16 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 16/48 | 22% | 15/68 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 47% | 16/34 | 64% | 35/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 42% | 5/12 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 45% | 10/22 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 22/26 | 96% | 47/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 69% | 18/26 | 84% | 41/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Cassone 0, Jodar 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Cassone
🤖 Servebot
Jodar
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Murphy Cassone.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 8, 2026
Nexo Dallas Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 28, 2025
Charlottesville Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Cassone | Jodar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Murphy Cassone | Rafael Jodar | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 10/10 | 94% | 16/17 |
| 3 or more | 80% | 8/10 | 71% | 12/17 |
| 5 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 47% | 8/17 |
| 10 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 12% | 2/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–4 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | 1.67 |
| ROI % | -15.3% | +2.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.22u | +0.37u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 9 |
| Distance | — | 1,200 mi · 1,932 km |
| Route | — | USA → CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Jodar has a higher win rate against shared opponents (83% vs Cassone's 50%).
| Opponent | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Ethan Quinn | L 36 76 36 | W 62 63 |
| Mitchell Krueger | W 76 62 | W 63 62 |
| Alex Rybakov | W 62 63 | W 63 64 |
| Nicolas Mejia | W 63 57 63 | W 60 62 |
| Andre Ilagan | L 61 26 36 | W 63 36 61 |
| Trevor Svajda | L 67 26 | L 57 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 18
Philip Sekulic
Granby Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Blaise Bicknell
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Tristan Schoolkate
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Darwin Blanch
Newport Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 9
Ethan Quinn
Mallorca Championships - Mallorca · 2nd Round
Jun 24
Yuta Shimizu
Tyler Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Daniel Milavsky
Tyler Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 3
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 4th Round
Aug 19
Alejandro Tabilo
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round
Aug 18
Denis Shapovalov
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Brandon Nakashima
National Bank Open - Montreal · Semifinals
Aug 13
Jiri Lehecka
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 9
Lorenzo Musetti
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Corentin Moutet
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Taylor Fritz
Citi Open - Washington · Final
Aug 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–81 matches
| Metric | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 75% |
| Sets won | 53% | 67% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Cassone | Jodar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.