Miomir Kecmanovic vs Yosuke WatanukiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ท๐ธMiomir Kecmanovic
#64 ยท 26 yrs ยท R
4 meetings ยท sets 8โ4

๐ฏ๐ตYosuke Watanuki
#415 ยท 28 yrs ยท R
5wMiomir Kecmanovic and Yosuke Watanuki have met 4 times since 2017; Miomir Kecmanovic leads 3โ1. Their first meeting came at Ningbo in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Kecmanovic leads 3โ1. Kecmanovic has won the last 3 meetings. Across all meetings Kecmanovic has taken 8 sets to Watanuki's 4. Their most recent meeting: Miomir Kecmanovic won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kecmanovic | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Miomir Kecmanovic | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 15/25 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 65% | 17/26 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 53% | 27/51 | 36% | 9/25 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 36% | 12/33 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 76% | 13/17 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 55% | 12/22 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 71% | 20/28 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 54% | 15/28 | 60% | 9/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kecmanovic 1, Watanuki 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kecmanovic
๐ฏ Baseliner
Watanuki
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
๐ฏ Baseliner vs ๐ฅ Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jan 15, 2024
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Jan 29, 2020
Newport Beach Challenger
H Hard ยท 2nd Round
Sep 2, 2018
Chengdu
H Hard ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 9, 2017
Ningbo
H Hard ยท Round of 32
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kecmanovic | Watanuki | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Miomir Kecmanovic | Yosuke Watanuki | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 63% | 5/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6โ8 | 4โ4 |
| Avg odds | 3.08 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -34.9% | -19.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.89u | -1.58u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | โ |
| Events | 3 | โ |
| Matches | 6 | โ |
| Distance | 1,024 mi ยท 1,648 km | โ |
| Route | CAN โ USA | โ |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Kecmanovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Watanuki's 0%).
| Opponent | Kecmanovic | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Nuno Borges | L 63 26 16 26 | L 62 46 16 |
| Dalibor Svrcina | W 62 63 | L 46 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Fabian Marozsan
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 2nd Round
Aug 26
Sho Shimabukuro
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Flavio Cobolli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 1st Round
Aug 13
Arthur Rinderknech
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 2nd Round
Aug 5
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal ยท 1st Round
Aug 3
Sebastian Baez
Generali Open - Kitzbuhel ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
EFG Swiss Open - Gstaad ยท 2nd Round
Jul 16
Hayato Matsuoka
Vancouver Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 29
Toby Samuel
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 23
Andre Ilagan
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 20
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 14
Jack Kennedy
Cary Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 1
Andre Ilagan
Cary Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Vitaliy Sachko
Bratislava Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 8
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 25โ55 matches
| Metric | Kecmanovic | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 47% | 52% |
| Sets won | 51% | 53% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kecmanovic | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kecmanovic | Watanuki |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 3 | 1 |
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