Mili Poljicak vs Yuta ShimizuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Ningboo Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 26 · 3:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.92 or longer, Mili Poljicak has won 17 of 38 (45%). The price implied 42%, so Mili Poljicak has beaten it by 3 points.
At 1.82 or shorter, Yuta Shimizu has won 30 of 62 (48%). The price implied 58%, so Yuta Shimizu has fallen 10 points short of it.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Mili Poljicak meets Yuta Shimizu in the first round of the Ningboo Challenger on October 26, a hard court tournament that will test both men after recent struggles. Poljicak ranks 270th; Shimizu sits at 376th. The two have never played.
Poljicak has won 2 of his last 5 matches and 3 of his last 10, arriving with a two-match losing streak. Shimizu has won 1 of 5 and 4 of 10, currently on a three-match slide. Both players faced Stefanos Sakellaridis recently; Shimizu defeated him while Poljicak lost. On hard courts, Poljicak holds a 11-9 record; Shimizu is 9-11.
Poljicak plays a versatile game with depth and range across the court. Shimizu relies on consistency and grinding rallies from the baseline. Poljicak's recent form has dipped, but his technical toolkit gives him multiple ways to finish points on hard. Shimizu will need to sustain extended exchanges and convert the few breaks that come his way; Poljicak must impose pace and avoid extended baseline exchanges where Shimizu thrives.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poljicak | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mili Poljicak | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 30/40 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 9/24 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 19/64 | 35% | 19/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 26/46 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 11/18 | 67% | 18/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 59% | 10/17 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 38/43 | 76% | 22/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 30/43 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poljicak
👑 The Complete Package
Shimizu
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 272 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mili Poljicak.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Poljicak and Shimizu have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poljicak | Shimizu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mili Poljicak | Yuta Shimizu | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 15/15 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 10 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poljicak | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–8 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.26 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -6.8% | -27.1% |
| Units P/L | -1.02u | -2.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poljicak | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 1 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POR | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Shimizu has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Poljicak's 0%).
| Opponent | Poljicak | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Stefanos Sakellaridis | L 46 46 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Francesco Maestrelli
Olbia Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 13
Max Hans Rehberg
Villena Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Patrick Brady
Villena Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Henrique Rocha
Porto Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Max Basing
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Genoa Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Matej Dodig
Como Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 31
Max Schoenhaus
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 24
Daisuke Sumizawa
M15 Tanagura · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Max Purcell
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Bernard Tomic
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 2
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Philip Sekulic
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Arthur Weber
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Hiroki Moriya
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Kasidit Samrej
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–64 matches
| Metric | Poljicak | Shimizu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 50% |
| Sets won | 61% | 50% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |