Miguel Tobon vs Rodrigo Pacheco MendezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Miguel Tobon and Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez have met 2 times since 2024; Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Bogota Challenger in 2024 on clay. Mendez has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Tobon has taken 0 sets to Mendez's 4. Their most recent meeting: Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez won at Kingston 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Tobon | Pacheco Mendez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Miguel Tobon | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 19/27 | 67% | 20/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 13/27 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 21/54 | 34% | 19/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 12/18 | 50% | 14/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 65% | 20/31 | 46% | 11/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 19/29 | 71% | 20/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Tobon 0, Pacheco Mendez 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Tobon
⚙️ Grinder
Mendez
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 279 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 27, 2026
Kingston 2 Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Aug 6, 2024
Bogota Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Tobon | Mendez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Miguel Tobon | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | ||
| 1 or more | 88% | 7/8 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 4/8 | 78% | 7/9 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 2/8 | 44% | 4/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/8 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Tobon | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–6 | 6–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.16 | 1.76 |
| ROI % | -46.8% | -15.3% |
| Units P/L | -4.21u | -1.53u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Tobon | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 6 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 691 mi · 1,112 km |
| Route | JAM | MEX → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Mendez has a higher win rate against shared opponents (63% vs Tobon's 38%).
| Opponent | Tobon | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | W 63 61 | W 36 61 64 |
| Mario Gonzalez Fernandez | L 76 36 67 | W 63 63 |
| Segundo Goity Zapico | W 60 63 | W 62 62 |
| Facundo Mena | W 62 26 61 | L 46 36 |
| Tibo Colson | L 61 36 36 | W 64 62 |
| James Duckworth | L 46 36 | L 64 36 67 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 67 62 36 | W 63 60 |
| Gonzalo Villanueva | L 06 06 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Kingston 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Juan Pablo Ficovich
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Pietro Orlando Fellin
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Tiago Pereira
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 13
Facundo Diaz Acosta
Milan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Martin Krumich
Targu Mures Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 22
Ryan Seggerman
Emilia-Romagna Tennis Cup · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Andy Andrade
Kingston 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 28
Miguel Tobon
Kingston 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 27
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Kingston 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Paul Jubb
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Sebastian Baez
Cancun Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 21
Tomas Barrios Vera
Cancun Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 20
Denis Shapovalov
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Sho Shimabukuro
Mifel Tennis Open - Los Cabos · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 54–56 matches
| Metric | Tobon | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 54% |
| Sets won | 52% | 53% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Tobon | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Tobon | Mendez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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