Mees Rottgering vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇳🇱Mees Rottgering
#327 · 19 yrs · L
1 meeting · sets 2–1
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#258 · 33 yrs · R
5wMees Rottgering and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 1 time since 2026; Mees Rottgering leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rottgering has taken 2 sets to Baena's 1. Their most recent meeting: Mees Rottgering won at ABN AMRO Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rottgering | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mees Rottgering | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 25/33 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 13% | 2/15 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 21% | 10/48 | 43% | 20/46 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 21/34 | 44% | 12/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 27% | 3/11 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 29/31 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 58% | 14/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rottgering 0, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rottgering
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Mees Rottgering and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 8, 2026
ABN AMRO Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rottgering | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mees Rottgering | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 85% | 11/13 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–6 | 2–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 2.16 |
| ROI % | +11.6% | -54.3% |
| Units P/L | +2.08u | -3.26u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Andy Andrade
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Braden Shick
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 30
Edward Winter
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 28
Nishesh Basavareddy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Tomas Machac
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Jan Choinski
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Grenier
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 23
Alexander Ritschard
Seville Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Pedro Vives Marcos
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Jacob Fearnley
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Carlos Sanchez Jover
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 12
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–48 matches
| Metric | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 52% |
| Sets won | 64% | 52% |
| Games won | 56% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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