Mees Rottgering vs Roberto Carballes BaenaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇳🇱Mees Rottgering
#389 · 19 yrs · L
31 meeting · sets 2–1
🇪🇸Roberto Carballes Baena
#209 · 33 yrs · R
5wMees Rottgering and Roberto Carballes Baena have met 1 time since 2026; Mees Rottgering leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rottgering has taken 2 sets to Baena's 1. Their most recent meeting: Mees Rottgering won at ABN AMRO Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rottgering | Carballes Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mees Rottgering | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 66% | 19/29 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 3/15 | 43% | 9/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/44 | 43% | 20/47 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 14/25 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 12/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 24/26 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 19/26 | 58% | 15/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rottgering 0, Carballes Baena 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rottgering
🪃 Counterpuncher
Baena
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Mees Rottgering and Roberto Carballes Baena are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,818 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Feb 8, 2026
ABN AMRO Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rottgering | Baena | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mees Rottgering | Roberto Carballes Baena | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 14/14 | 85% | 11/13 |
| 3 or more | 79% | 11/14 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 6/14 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/14 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 8–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.87 | 1.74 |
| ROI % | +3.5% | -20.3% |
| Units P/L | +0.52u | -2.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | 423 mi · 681 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Baena has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Rottgering's 0%).
| Opponent | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Kukushkin | L 26 76 26 | W 61 36 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Tomas Machac
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 2nd Round
Aug 26
Arthur Fery
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 3rd Round
Aug 26
Jan Choinski
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Lloyd Harris
Brownsburg Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Henry Searle
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Fajing Sun
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Ozan Baris
M25 Louisville · Final
Jul 19
Olle Wallin
Bonn Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Max Houkes
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Marc-Andrea Huesler
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Mackenzie McDonald
Wimbledon · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Mark Ceban
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Sebastian Ofner
Parma Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jun 18
Stefano Travaglia
Parma Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 17
Miguel Damas
Parma Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 44–47 matches
| Metric | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 55% |
| Sets won | 60% | 54% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rottgering | Baena |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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