Mccartney Kessler vs Shuai ZhangPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Mccartney Kessler
#95 · 26 yrs · Right-Handed
6w2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇨🇳Shuai Zhang
#81 · 37 yrs · Right-Handed
6w3Mccartney Kessler and Shuai Zhang have met 2 times since 2024; Shuai Zhang leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at China Open - Beijing in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Zhang leads 2–0. Zhang has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Kessler has taken 0 sets to Zhang's 4. Their most recent meeting: Shuai Zhang won at Australian Open - Melbourne (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kessler | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Mccartney Kessler | Shuai Zhang | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 14/21 | 70% | 23/33 |
| Wins a set when losing | 27% | 6/22 | 30% | 9/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 30% | 13/43 | 30% | 19/63 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 12/24 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 37% | 7/19 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 16/20 | 91% | 29/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 14/20 | 72% | 23/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kessler 0, Zhang 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kessler
💥 Big Hitter
Zhang
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 56% vs 🎯 Baseliner across 404 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mccartney Kessler.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the baseliner's precise groundstrokes.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jan 14, 2025
Australian Open - Melbourne
H Hard · 1st Round
Sep 25, 2024
China Open - Beijing
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kessler | Zhang | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Mccartney Kessler | Shuai Zhang | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 5/5 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 3/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kessler | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–4 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 3.35 |
| ROI % | -77.0% | -32.4% |
| Units P/L | -3.85u | -2.27u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Zhang has a higher win rate against shared opponents (44% vs Kessler's 33%).
| Opponent | Kessler | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Leylah Fernandez | W 63 62 | L 36 26 |
| Aryna Sabalenka | L 16 67 | L 36 46 |
| Anna Kalinskaya | L 26 76 46 | L 16 16 |
| Yulia Putintseva | L 16 16 | W 64 61 |
| Katie Volynets | L 36 36 | W 76 57 75 |
| Magdalena Frech | W 26 64 62 | W 62 64 |
| Cristina Bucsa | W 36 75 63 | W 26 76 75 |
| Yuliia Starodubtseva | L 46 46 | L 26 16 |
| Linda Noskova | L 75 36 46 | L 75 16 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Ekaterina Alexandrova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Caty Mcnally
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Anna Kalinskaya
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Cadence Brace
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 29
Aryna Sabalenka
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Oleksandra Oliynykova
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Madison Keys
Lexus Eastbourne Open - Eastbourne · Quarterfinals
Jun 25
Leylah Fernandez
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Aug 30
Maria Timofeeva
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey · 1st Round
Aug 26
Ann Li
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kayla Day
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 15
Aryna Sabalenka
National Bank Open - Toronto · 3rd Round
Aug 7
Jelena Ostapenko
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Yulia Putintseva
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gabriela Andrea Knutson
Mubadala DC Open - Washington · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 25
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 43–63 matches
| Metric | Kessler | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 52% |
| Sets won | 48% | 52% |
| Games won | 49% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kessler | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 1000 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kessler | Zhang |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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