Maxwell Exsted vs Rafael TosettoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maxwell Exsted and Rafael Tosetto have met 1 time since 2026; Rafael Tosetto leads 1–0. Across all meetings Exsted has taken 1 sets to Tosetto's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Tosetto won at M15 Asuncion (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Exsted | Tosetto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maxwell Exsted | Rafael Tosetto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 12/24 | 74% | 17/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 3/21 | 21% | 6/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 15/45 | 23% | 12/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 31% | 8/26 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 46% | 6/13 | 37% | 10/27 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 27% | 3/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 18/21 | 95% | 20/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 81% | 17/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Exsted 0, Tosetto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Exsted
⚔️ The Gladiator
Tosetto
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,464 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Rafael Tosetto.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 13, 2026
M15 Asuncion
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Exsted | Tosetto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maxwell Exsted | Rafael Tosetto | ||
| 1 or more | 46% | 5/11 | 82% | 18/22 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 59% | 13/22 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 36% | 8/22 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/22 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/22 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 11–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.17 | 2.65 |
| ROI % | -0.1% | -11.3% |
| Units P/L | -0.01u | -2.25u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | BRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Exsted has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Tosetto's 50%).
| Opponent | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Berger | W 63 64 | W 76 75 |
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 36 36 | L 16 16 |
| Benjamin Torrealba | W 60 75 | W 76 62 |
| Nicolas Villalon | W 46 61 62 | L 46 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luca Staeheli
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 21
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Jose Pereira
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Joao Victor Couto Loureiro
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Unknown Player
M15 Curitiba · 1st Round
Sep 23
Livas Eduardo De Carvalho Damazio
M15 Belem · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Unknown Player
M15 Belem · 1st Round
Sep 16
Unknown Player
M15 Belem · 1st Round
Sep 16
Mateus Alves
M15 Leme · Semifinals
Sep 12
Pedro Rodrigues Longobardi
M15 Leme · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 45–52 matches
| Metric | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 44% |
| Sets won | 49% | 45% |
| Games won | 52% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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