Maxwell Exsted vs Rafael TosettoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Maxwell Exsted and Rafael Tosetto have met 1 time since 2026; Rafael Tosetto leads 1–0. Across all meetings Exsted has taken 1 sets to Tosetto's 2. Their most recent meeting: Rafael Tosetto won at M15 Asuncion (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Exsted | Tosetto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Maxwell Exsted | Rafael Tosetto | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 46% | 13/28 | 71% | 10/14 |
| Wins a set when losing | 17% | 4/23 | 18% | 5/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/51 | 21% | 9/42 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 32% | 9/28 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 8/16 | 31% | 8/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 38% | 5/13 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 21/23 | 85% | 11/13 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 13/23 | 77% | 10/13 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Exsted 0, Tosetto 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Exsted
⚔️ The Gladiator
Tosetto
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs ⚙️ Grinder is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 646 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 13, 2026
M15 Asuncion
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Exsted | Tosetto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Maxwell Exsted | Rafael Tosetto | ||
| 1 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 31% | 4/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–9 | 5–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.90 | 3.80 |
| ROI % | -11.4% | +8.4% |
| Units P/L | -2.29u | +0.84u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 9 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → PAR | BRA → PAR |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Exsted has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Tosetto's 50%).
| Opponent | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo | L 36 36 | L 16 16 |
| Benjamin Torrealba | W 60 75 | W 76 62 |
| Nicolas Villalon | W 46 61 62 | L 46 26 |
| Benjamin Berger | W 63 64 | W 16 64 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 21
Santiago De La Fuente
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 20
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Santiago Giamichelle
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 18
Rafael Tosetto
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Nicolas Villalon
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Tomas Martinez
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Maximus Dussault
M25 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
M15 Asuncion · Semifinals
Aug 14
Maxwell Exsted
M15 Asuncion · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Leonardo Monferrer
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Leonardo Monferrer
M15 Asuncion · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Benjamin Torrealba
M15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Aug 11
Juan Sebastian Osorio
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Gustavo Ribeiro De Almeida
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 29
Matias Soto
M25 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 42–51 matches
| Metric | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 55% | 33% |
| Sets won | 50% | 35% |
| Games won | 51% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Exsted | Tosetto |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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